Skip to Main Content

Nomograms and Gene Expression Profiles for Cutaneous Malignancies

April 10, 2026

Transcript

  • 00:00Program tonight brought to you
  • 00:02by a multidisciplinary
  • 00:03group to hear from the
  • 00:04Smilow Cancer Center encompassing expertise
  • 00:07in all of cutaneous
  • 00:09oncology.
  • 00:11We're gonna start off the
  • 00:12session, which really
  • 00:14focuses
  • 00:15on gene expression and cutaneous
  • 00:18malignancies as we've noticed a
  • 00:20real uptake in the use
  • 00:21of this. And there's been
  • 00:22some really great recent data,
  • 00:25a flood of it actually
  • 00:26recently from randomized controlled trials,
  • 00:28as well as some opening
  • 00:29of some clinical trials around
  • 00:31the country.
  • 00:32So we're going to begin
  • 00:33our discussion today,
  • 00:35with doctor Swoozie.
  • 00:37If you'd like to get
  • 00:37us started, please.
  • 00:41Sure.
  • 00:42Just give me one sec.
  • 00:46So hi, everyone.
  • 00:48Oh, did it stop? Hold
  • 00:50on. My screen share stopped.
  • 00:52Let me try again here.
  • 00:58Here we go.
  • 01:00Hi. I'm Katie Swozzi. I'm
  • 01:02a Mohsurgent here at Yale,
  • 01:04and I'm gonna be starting
  • 01:05us off tonight by discussing
  • 01:06the role of nomograms and
  • 01:08introducing,
  • 01:10the idea about gene expression
  • 01:11profiling in cutaneous squamous cell
  • 01:13carcinoma
  • 01:14with a focus on how
  • 01:16these tools can help refine
  • 01:17risk assessment and clinical decision
  • 01:19making.
  • 01:20I'll review briefly traditional staging,
  • 01:23introduce nomogram based prediction,
  • 01:26particularly the risk calculator, and
  • 01:28discuss how molecular tools like
  • 01:29GEP may further refine risk.
  • 01:32So although most cutaneous squamous
  • 01:34cell carcinoma have excellent prognosis,
  • 01:36a subset behaves aggressively and
  • 01:38the consequences of missing high
  • 01:40risk disease are significant.
  • 01:42Rates of unfavorable outcomes are
  • 01:43about three to five percent
  • 01:44for local recurrence, two to
  • 01:46five percent for nodal mets,
  • 01:48and one point five to
  • 01:49three point five percent for
  • 01:50disease specific death. And despite
  • 01:52these relatively small percentages, the
  • 01:54absolute
  • 01:55mortality from cutaneous squamous cell
  • 01:56carcinoma is substantial,
  • 01:59meeting at least meeting,
  • 02:00but, and by most models
  • 02:02exceeding that of melanoma.
  • 02:04So I did talk about
  • 02:06staging in the last one
  • 02:07of these sessions, but I
  • 02:08did wanna briefly bring it
  • 02:09up here. So first here,
  • 02:10I'm showing AJCC eight.
  • 02:13Staging and, the eighth edition
  • 02:16for head and neck cutaneous
  • 02:18squamous cell carcinoma
  • 02:19attempted to improve risk stratification
  • 02:21by expanding the t three
  • 02:23group to include deep invasion,
  • 02:27perineural invasion, and minor bone
  • 02:29erosion.
  • 02:30And one of the major
  • 02:31improvements compared with AJCC seven
  • 02:34was that core outcomes are
  • 02:35now concentrated in t three
  • 02:36and t four tumors
  • 02:38rather than across a heterogeneic,
  • 02:40T2 group.
  • 02:42However, even with AJCC8,
  • 02:44there remains substantial
  • 02:45variability in outcomes.
  • 02:47So the Brigham and Women's
  • 02:48Staging System was developed to
  • 02:50address this heterogeneity.
  • 02:52This model,
  • 02:54identifies four major risk factors,
  • 02:56diameter,
  • 02:56depth, beyond fat, perineural invasion
  • 02:59of greater than point one
  • 03:00millimeters, and poorly differentiated histology.
  • 03:03And tumors are then classified
  • 03:05by their number of risk
  • 03:06factors into t one, t
  • 03:08two a, t two b,
  • 03:09and t three.
  • 03:10And Brigham and Women's Staging
  • 03:11shows better risk stratification
  • 03:14at, t two, t three,
  • 03:15and here you can see
  • 03:16that t two b tumors
  • 03:18have about a twenty percent
  • 03:19risk of local recurrence and
  • 03:21nodal metastasis
  • 03:22with t two a,
  • 03:23ten percent or below.
  • 03:25And you can see there's,
  • 03:27less stratification,
  • 03:28in AGCC
  • 03:29eight, between t three,
  • 03:32and t two.
  • 03:33And so this improved risk
  • 03:35stratification, but staging remains categorical
  • 03:38rather than individualized.
  • 03:40So NCCN
  • 03:41guidelines build further on staging
  • 03:43incorporating additional
  • 03:44high risk features and patient
  • 03:46specific features such as, you
  • 03:48know, is the tumor primary
  • 03:49recurrent? Is the patient immunosuppressed?
  • 03:52Is the location on previously
  • 03:54irradiated skin? What is the
  • 03:56growth rate of the tumor?
  • 03:58And also incorporates different,
  • 04:00histologic subtypes.
  • 04:03And NCCN classification is useful,
  • 04:05but it still groups patients
  • 04:06into low, high risk, and
  • 04:08very high risk rather than
  • 04:09generating individual probabilities.
  • 04:13So nomograms,
  • 04:15this is where nomograms are
  • 04:16particularly helpful. So a nomogram
  • 04:18is a statistical model that
  • 04:20integrates multiple variables to generate
  • 04:22an individualized
  • 04:23probability of prosthesis
  • 04:25or death.
  • 04:26And unlike staging systems, nomograms
  • 04:28produce continuous risk estimates rather
  • 04:31than categories.
  • 04:32And this is especially useful
  • 04:33in gray zones. For example,
  • 04:35tumors that fall between Brigham
  • 04:37and Women staging t two
  • 04:38a and t two b,
  • 04:39which we commonly refer to
  • 04:40as t two a plus.
  • 04:44Nomograms can also be, presented
  • 04:46graphically
  • 04:47or embedded in calculators,
  • 04:49making them very clinically
  • 04:51practical. So,
  • 04:52I briefly mentioned this nomogram,
  • 04:55for cutaneous SCC that predicts
  • 04:57the risk of recurrence after
  • 04:58MOSE, which was published in
  • 05:00twenty twenty two, combining clinical
  • 05:02factors with two biomarkers,
  • 05:04and here showing the type
  • 05:05of graphical representation of the
  • 05:07nomogram. But the one I
  • 05:08wanted to focus on is
  • 05:09the, risk calculator, which was
  • 05:11developed by,
  • 05:13number of doctor Krishnan and
  • 05:14I's colleagues in the Mose
  • 05:15College. And,
  • 05:17it's a clinically practical nomogram
  • 05:20used to predict metastatic risk,
  • 05:22and it's also available in
  • 05:24an app form that's very,
  • 05:26user friendly.
  • 05:27So I wanted to show
  • 05:28you the risk calculator using
  • 05:30a case I recently saw
  • 05:31in clinic. So here's a
  • 05:32patient who presented for a
  • 05:33treatment of a cutaneous squamous
  • 05:35cell carcinoma,
  • 05:36the right preauricular region.
  • 05:38And here was her PRIMOs,
  • 05:41lesion and here's her post
  • 05:42MOS defect. And so when
  • 05:44you look at staging for
  • 05:45her, her PRIMO size was
  • 05:47one point five centimeters. She
  • 05:49had very widespread perineural invasion,
  • 05:51but it was all small
  • 05:52caliber,
  • 05:52and she did have poorly
  • 05:53differentiated histology. So, by staging,
  • 05:56she's either AJCCA
  • 05:58T1 or T2A,
  • 05:59but you just know this
  • 06:00patient is not going to
  • 06:02do well. And,
  • 06:03that that staging is underrepresenting
  • 06:05the biology of her disease.
  • 06:06So let's put her in
  • 06:08the risk calculator. So here,
  • 06:09if we add,
  • 06:11her criteria,
  • 06:13here, you see she's gonna
  • 06:14get credit for a perineural
  • 06:15invasion for the depth of
  • 06:17invasion.
  • 06:18And,
  • 06:19we look at her risk
  • 06:20calculator, it's gonna reflect a
  • 06:22lot higher than her staging,
  • 06:25her risk of neurotoxicity
  • 06:27being, over thirteen percent and,
  • 06:30recurrence after mood was about
  • 06:32twenty percent. So this patient
  • 06:33will go to our multidisciplinary
  • 06:35tumor board for consideration of
  • 06:37adjuvant,
  • 06:38therapy where her staging may
  • 06:39not have triggered that alone.
  • 06:42So I'm briefly just gonna
  • 06:44talk about,
  • 06:44GP because doctor Roach is
  • 06:46gonna build on this. But,
  • 06:48for cutaneous SCC, we have
  • 06:49a forty gene expression,
  • 06:51profile test that's clinically available.
  • 06:54This was generated from primary
  • 06:56cutaneous bimicile carcinomas with known
  • 06:58outcomes, so retrospectives,
  • 07:01we developed,
  • 07:03and has not been prospectively,
  • 07:06validated yet, but identifies three
  • 07:08classes, class one, two a,
  • 07:10and two b, the different
  • 07:12likelihoods of developing metastasis,
  • 07:14at three years.
  • 07:15Oh, sorry, this slide looks
  • 07:16weird.
  • 07:18So, the three classes, Class
  • 07:19I is the low biological
  • 07:21risk and is about half
  • 07:22the study population,
  • 07:23Class two a is moderate
  • 07:25biologic risk, and, when you
  • 07:26look at the hazard ratio
  • 07:28here, it's similar to the
  • 07:29strongest traditional clinical pathologic factors
  • 07:32like perineural invasion, for example.
  • 07:34And class two b is
  • 07:35very high risk with a
  • 07:36greater than fifty percent risk
  • 07:38of metastasis, and you could
  • 07:39see that here.
  • 07:42So,
  • 07:43about a third of the
  • 07:44cases will end up, t
  • 07:46two a. And so,
  • 07:47well, doctor Roche is gonna
  • 07:48talk more about what we
  • 07:49do, with those tumors, and
  • 07:51this is where, you know,
  • 07:54correlation with staging is also,
  • 07:57important. And so, you know,
  • 07:59what are the takeaways here?
  • 08:00Cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma is
  • 08:02a heterogeneous
  • 08:04group, and, accurate
  • 08:06risk stratification is critical.
  • 08:09Nomograms such as risk provide
  • 08:11individual risk prediction and particularly
  • 08:13helpful in these gray zone
  • 08:14cases, and gene expression profiling
  • 08:17adds biologic risk information that
  • 08:19may further refine management. And
  • 08:20to further speak about that,
  • 08:20I'm gonna turn it over
  • 08:21to
  • 08:29Thank you, Katie.
  • 08:31Alright. Let's pull mine out
  • 08:32here.
  • 08:34Share. Presenter mode. Okay.
  • 08:37Alright. So I'm Ansley Roach.
  • 08:39I'm a head and neck
  • 08:40surgeon here.
  • 08:42I'm gonna be just speaking
  • 08:44specifically about,
  • 08:46this forty GEP panel and,
  • 08:49also as it pertains to
  • 08:50the head and neck.
  • 08:51But talking a little bit
  • 08:52about its development, because I
  • 08:53think it's important to just
  • 08:54get an understanding of what
  • 08:57of what this, how this
  • 08:58was validated. So just to
  • 09:00recap some of the things
  • 09:01that Doctor. Swozi mentioned,
  • 09:03the high risk features that
  • 09:05we see in these patients
  • 09:06can vary or can be,
  • 09:08attributed to the tumor characteristics
  • 09:10themselves. And I've listed them
  • 09:12here. Essentially, anything greater than
  • 09:13two centimeters depth of invasion
  • 09:15beyond the subcutaneous fat or
  • 09:17six millimeters.
  • 09:18Higher risk areas, so specifically
  • 09:20the head and neck, hands,
  • 09:21feet, the pre tibial region,
  • 09:23and the anal genital re
  • 09:24reach, areas,
  • 09:26poorly defined borders. Reshare your
  • 09:28screen? I think it's not
  • 09:29showing up. Sorry.
  • 09:31That's okay. Thank you. Sorry.
  • 09:32Let's see.
  • 09:35Okay.
  • 09:37Share. Sorry about that.
  • 09:40What about this? Is that
  • 09:41good? Okay. Is it in
  • 09:42presenter mode? Or No. So
  • 09:44if you go up and
  • 09:45you could put it in
  • 09:46presenter mode.
  • 09:48Do I do that through
  • 09:49right there.
  • 09:52If you hit slideshow and
  • 09:53then say,
  • 09:57view
  • 09:58I'm not saying Exit animation.
  • 10:03What about this?
  • 10:05No. It just doesn't know.
  • 10:06Stopped. Okay. Sorry. So I'm
  • 10:08just gonna do it old
  • 10:09school.
  • 10:11Yes. That? Okay. I'm not
  • 10:13okay. Great. Thank you. Sorry
  • 10:14about that.
  • 10:16And then, also
  • 10:18indications of,
  • 10:20perineural invasion such as pain
  • 10:22or paresthesias or, paresis or
  • 10:25paralysis,
  • 10:27histopathologic
  • 10:28features, so just different histopathologic
  • 10:30subtypes of squamous cell carcinoma,
  • 10:32certainly the PNI and LVI
  • 10:34that Doctor. Swozi mentioned, and
  • 10:35then patient factors. These all
  • 10:37place patients at high risk,
  • 10:39for metastasis, local recurrence of
  • 10:42squamous cell carcinoma.
  • 10:45As in other disease states
  • 10:46such as breast cancer,
  • 10:49there have been,
  • 10:51a a burgeoning
  • 10:52field of gene expression profiling,
  • 10:56in which a essentially, a
  • 10:57proprietary algorithm is used,
  • 11:00to predict metastatic risk or
  • 11:02risk of recurrence.
  • 11:04In this there's one that's
  • 11:05commercially available for squamous cell
  • 11:06carcinoma. It's a forty gene
  • 11:08panel.
  • 11:09They use two gene expression
  • 11:11signatures. There are thirty four,
  • 11:13discriminant genes. They're all listed
  • 11:15here. It's kind of a
  • 11:16a variety of different sorts
  • 11:17of genes they're looking for,
  • 11:19MMPs,
  • 11:20metabolic related proteins, transcription factors,
  • 11:23and then some control genes.
  • 11:25And these this testing can
  • 11:27be done on archived FFPE
  • 11:28samples, so it does not
  • 11:29have to be on fresh
  • 11:31tumor.
  • 11:33The this test was,
  • 11:35developed and as doctor Swozi
  • 11:37said, in a retrospective fashion
  • 11:39where,
  • 11:41long term outcomes were available
  • 11:43and evaluated as part of
  • 11:45the validation cohort.
  • 11:47It was a multi institutional
  • 11:49study across con across the
  • 11:51country,
  • 11:52pulling, three twenty one patients
  • 11:54for the validation cohort. It
  • 11:56was powered to detect a
  • 11:57hazard ratio of three year
  • 11:58metastasis
  • 12:00of two point one.
  • 12:01It, included patients that were
  • 12:03at least had at least
  • 12:04one high risk feature, so
  • 12:05at least
  • 12:06BWH
  • 12:08one, and then
  • 12:09a slightly higher risk of
  • 12:11metastasis rate for these patients,
  • 12:13or rate of metastasis, sixteen
  • 12:14point two percent, versus the
  • 12:16general population, which ranges anywhere
  • 12:18from two to five percent.
  • 12:21Similar to the,
  • 12:22survival curves that doctor Swozzi
  • 12:24shared, you can see here
  • 12:26that,
  • 12:27the
  • 12:28three year metastasis free survival,
  • 12:31is separated out, stratified by
  • 12:33these classes with class one
  • 12:35a, again, the low biological
  • 12:37risk,
  • 12:38with a three year metastasis
  • 12:39free survival about ninety one
  • 12:41percent. Two a would be
  • 12:43the moderate,
  • 12:44moderate risk. That's about eighty
  • 12:46percent through your survival. And
  • 12:472b, as we would expect
  • 12:49with the highest risk, biological
  • 12:51behavior,
  • 12:52through your metastasis free survival
  • 12:54about forty four percent.
  • 12:58Hazard ratio,
  • 12:59it was powered to demonstrate
  • 13:01this and hazard ratio,
  • 13:03for three year metastasis,
  • 13:05for 2a was two point
  • 13:07four four, and then it
  • 13:08increases tenfold. So three year
  • 13:11risk of metastasis for 2B
  • 13:12tumors is tenfold,
  • 13:14greater,
  • 13:16than class I. And then
  • 13:17the disease specific survival disease
  • 13:19specific death also is significantly
  • 13:21increased, for both,
  • 13:242A and 2B tumors.
  • 13:26I think it's important to
  • 13:27just look at how this
  • 13:28tool was developed.
  • 13:30It was,
  • 13:32it was,
  • 13:33deep learning,
  • 13:35on training data that was,
  • 13:37one hundred and twenty two
  • 13:39patients.
  • 13:40I think it's important to
  • 13:42note that as you can
  • 13:43see here,
  • 13:45the AJCC class t three
  • 13:47and t four tumors are
  • 13:48quite underrepresented,
  • 13:49specifically t four. There's one
  • 13:51patient with a t four
  • 13:52tumor.
  • 13:53And I think the the
  • 13:54same can be said for
  • 13:55BWH staging, so a pretty
  • 13:57small sample size for t
  • 13:59two b and t three
  • 14:00tumors.
  • 14:02When they, trained their,
  • 14:04their model,
  • 14:06and then compared it or
  • 14:07then validated against
  • 14:09additional cohort of three twenty
  • 14:11one patients,
  • 14:12their,
  • 14:13numbers of T3 and T4
  • 14:15tumors were slightly increased, but
  • 14:16still quite small. So just
  • 14:18seven seven patients with T4
  • 14:19tumors by AJCC eight and
  • 14:22seven with T3 tumors by
  • 14:23BWH.
  • 14:25The,
  • 14:26at the end of their
  • 14:27kind of validation study, they
  • 14:28found that about half of
  • 14:29their patients had this class
  • 14:31one low biologic risk. Class
  • 14:322a was just under half
  • 14:34with a very small proportion
  • 14:36being class 2b, that very
  • 14:37high risk.
  • 14:39I think it's also interesting
  • 14:40to look at some of
  • 14:41their,
  • 14:42some of their regression data.
  • 14:45Their data failed to show,
  • 14:47an increased,
  • 14:49or a hazard ratio for
  • 14:50three year metastasis for T4
  • 14:52tumors.
  • 14:53You would think that by
  • 14:54AJCC criteria T4 tumors, you
  • 14:56would see an increased risk
  • 14:58of three year metastasis. It
  • 14:59just makes sense. These are
  • 15:00advanced stage tumors, but their
  • 15:02data is not showing this.
  • 15:04And the same is true
  • 15:05for the BWH
  • 15:06staging. Their t three tumors,
  • 15:07there's not an increase or
  • 15:09there there's no increased kind
  • 15:10of hazard of, three year
  • 15:12metastasis.
  • 15:13When they kind of change
  • 15:15the data a little bit
  • 15:16and combine some of these,
  • 15:18the the staging, they combined
  • 15:20t one and t two
  • 15:21and then combined t three,
  • 15:22t four, and then they
  • 15:24did find a,
  • 15:26an increased hazard of three
  • 15:28year metastasis
  • 15:29of
  • 15:30two,
  • 15:31with,
  • 15:32class 2b having a near
  • 15:34tenfold,
  • 15:35increased risk of three year
  • 15:36metastasis.
  • 15:38But important to note that
  • 15:39advanced stage tumors are underrepresented
  • 15:41in this validation study. So
  • 15:42what raises the question of,
  • 15:43is this a useful tool
  • 15:45for these advanced stage tumors,
  • 15:48T3, T4 by AJCC criteria.
  • 15:51Efforts to look at all
  • 15:53the available literature,
  • 15:54have been made of meta
  • 15:55analysis and systematic review, looked
  • 15:57at all available,
  • 16:00research at the time. This
  • 16:01was a twenty twenty three
  • 16:02meta analysis, and they were
  • 16:04after they, looked through all
  • 16:06available studies, they, found three
  • 16:08studies that reached that met
  • 16:10inclusion criteria representing just over
  • 16:12a thousand patients.
  • 16:13They did find similar three
  • 16:15year metastasis free survival across
  • 16:17classes, where
  • 16:19similar to the data I
  • 16:20presented earlier and what Doctor.
  • 16:21Swozzi presented,
  • 16:23class I anywhere from ninety
  • 16:25one percent to ninety three
  • 16:26percent, three year metastasis free
  • 16:28survival.
  • 16:29Two a is slightly worse
  • 16:30at seventy six to eighty
  • 16:31percent. And two b,
  • 16:33the worst of the of
  • 16:34the three with forty three
  • 16:35to forty seven percent
  • 16:37three year metastasis free survival.
  • 16:41Looking at positive predictive value
  • 16:43of the forty GEP,
  • 16:45is actually a fairly,
  • 16:47substantial positive predictive value, about
  • 16:49fifty five percent,
  • 16:51for class 2b
  • 16:53when compared to class one
  • 16:54and class 2a.
  • 16:56And when you compare that
  • 16:57to the positive predictive value
  • 16:59of AJCC
  • 17:00and BWH,
  • 17:02the forty gene panel is
  • 17:04higher. So the positive predictive
  • 17:06value for AJCC was just
  • 17:08about a third, thirty three
  • 17:09percent, and for the Brigham
  • 17:10and Women's, thirty six percent.
  • 17:12So
  • 17:13the positive predictive value for
  • 17:15the forty gene, expression profiling
  • 17:17test is does outperform AJCC
  • 17:20and BWH.
  • 17:22To look specifically at head
  • 17:24and neck,
  • 17:25a subset of the original
  • 17:26validation cohort was analyzed.
  • 17:29Similar researchers,
  • 17:30on this study as well,
  • 17:31but looking specifically at the
  • 17:33head and neck.
  • 17:34Similar Kaplan Meier curves for
  • 17:36these with class I three
  • 17:38year metastasis free survival ninety
  • 17:39two percent. You can see
  • 17:40the numbers here, seventy six
  • 17:42for class IIa, forty four
  • 17:43for class two b. So
  • 17:44very similar to,
  • 17:46looking at,
  • 17:47squamous cell carcinomas of the
  • 17:49entire body, when you look
  • 17:50at this for head and
  • 17:51neck cancers.
  • 17:54The sites represented here,
  • 17:57where lip and scalp actually
  • 17:59had the highest rates of
  • 18:00metastasis.
  • 18:01The most common locations
  • 18:03were the, ears, cheeks, and
  • 18:06scalp.
  • 18:07But when they looked at
  • 18:08metastasis rate by location on
  • 18:10the head and neck, there
  • 18:11they found no difference, in
  • 18:13metastatic events and,
  • 18:15location of the head and
  • 18:16neck.
  • 18:18And then here you can
  • 18:19see here again depicted the
  • 18:20this is it's very similar
  • 18:22to what, what I presented
  • 18:23with the validation study. This
  • 18:25when you extrapolate out or,
  • 18:27analyze the head and neck
  • 18:28patients, the say it's a
  • 18:29similar positive predictive value of
  • 18:31about fifty five percent,
  • 18:33higher than the positive predictive
  • 18:35value. And that's for the
  • 18:35for the for the gene,
  • 18:37gene expression profiling test, fifty
  • 18:39five percent positive predictive value
  • 18:42compared to just thirty seven
  • 18:43percent for AJCC
  • 18:45eighth edition for advanced stage
  • 18:46tumors and the BWH,
  • 18:49advanced stage tumors. So, again,
  • 18:50it outperforms those two for
  • 18:52the positive predictive value.
  • 18:55So like the AJCC eighth
  • 18:57edition and Brigham women's
  • 18:59staging system, the forty gene,
  • 19:01expression profile testing does class
  • 19:04or it classified lower rates
  • 19:06of tumor as high risk
  • 19:07compared to the NCCN.
  • 19:09As doctor Suozzi showed,
  • 19:10NCCN
  • 19:12breaks patients down by low,
  • 19:13high, and very high.
  • 19:15And just by definition,
  • 19:18head and neck is high
  • 19:20risk.
  • 19:20And so this test actually
  • 19:23kind of downstages,
  • 19:25downgrades,
  • 19:26patients of the head and
  • 19:28neck,
  • 19:28whereas the NCCN,
  • 19:30would not do that.
  • 19:31And then when they compared
  • 19:32these the head and neck
  • 19:34sites,
  • 19:36to,
  • 19:37cancers of all sites of
  • 19:38the body, they found that
  • 19:39a higher percentage of cases
  • 19:41were at moderate risk, so
  • 19:42at 2a,
  • 19:43and that a lower percent
  • 19:45was at, the low risk
  • 19:47of of class one,
  • 19:49implying a sort of shift
  • 19:50to higher risk for head
  • 19:51and neck region, which we
  • 19:53know that to be true.
  • 19:55So I'm just gonna demonstrate
  • 19:57kind of the impact that
  • 19:58this could have in some
  • 19:59clinical scenarios. So these are
  • 20:01case studies that,
  • 20:03two cases from a case
  • 20:05series published in two thousand
  • 20:06and two, two very similar
  • 20:08patients from just kind of
  • 20:10their history.
  • 20:11So the first is a
  • 20:12sixty five year old male
  • 20:13with a double transplant,
  • 20:15with, who developed this sort
  • 20:17of small one point three
  • 20:18centimeter papule on the temple.
  • 20:20By AJCC, it's a stage
  • 20:22one. BWH, it was a
  • 20:23stage two a.
  • 20:26He underwent Moe's, surgery,
  • 20:28several stages.
  • 20:30There was a an initial,
  • 20:33initially, all margins were determined
  • 20:34to be negative, but a
  • 20:35subsequent analysis showed a small
  • 20:37focus of,
  • 20:39of cancer remaining in the
  • 20:40tumor bed. Patient was notified,
  • 20:43discussed additional treatment with radiation
  • 20:45oncology. He declined.
  • 20:47And,
  • 20:48at the time of follow-up,
  • 20:49he,
  • 20:50was without disease.
  • 20:52They tested his tumor, and
  • 20:54it was a class one,
  • 20:56for the forty GEP.
  • 20:59A very similar patient, a
  • 21:00sixty nine year old male,
  • 21:01also liver transplant, several month
  • 21:03history of a similar size
  • 21:05lesion in a similar location.
  • 21:07This one's exophytic,
  • 21:09in its appearance, but similar
  • 21:10staging, AJCC eighth edition one
  • 21:12and then the BWH
  • 21:14t two a.
  • 21:15So this patient underwent,
  • 21:17Mohs micrographic surgery, two stages,
  • 21:20margins were clear,
  • 21:22very short interval recurrence at
  • 21:24about four months.
  • 21:27He consulted with, radiation oncology.
  • 21:30He received
  • 21:31he received radiation to the
  • 21:33temple.
  • 21:34He developed cervical lymphadenopathy,
  • 21:37and,
  • 21:39which was positive for squamous
  • 21:41cell carcinoma metastasis.
  • 21:44He, rather than having surgery,
  • 21:45he underwent radiation to the
  • 21:47neck.
  • 21:47He then developed,
  • 21:49mediastinal metastasis,
  • 21:52ultimately was started on it
  • 21:54was given targeted radiation to
  • 21:56the lung,
  • 21:57was trialed on some systemic
  • 21:59therapy, but he progressed through
  • 22:00disease,
  • 22:01and then ultimately,
  • 22:03succumbed to his disease.
  • 22:05Testing of his tumor revealed
  • 22:07class two b.
  • 22:08So two very similar appearing,
  • 22:11kind of presentations,
  • 22:12but the biology of these
  • 22:14tumors are dramatically different,
  • 22:16and that does get detected
  • 22:18on this forty, gene expression
  • 22:20profile
  • 22:21test. So ways that we
  • 22:22can utilize this,
  • 22:24for t or 2a and
  • 22:262b tumors,
  • 22:27would be to consider additional
  • 22:29workup to evaluate the nodal
  • 22:30basin,
  • 22:31CT NET with contrast.
  • 22:33You could con also, if
  • 22:34you're having any issues with
  • 22:35insurance, you could start with
  • 22:36an ultrasound,
  • 22:38and then assessing the nodal
  • 22:39basin with a lymph node
  • 22:41biopsy if there is lymphadenopathy
  • 22:43just proceeding with, neck dissection.
  • 22:45Also, potentially
  • 22:47a role for,
  • 22:48adjuvant treatment decision making,
  • 22:51such as radiation therapy, and
  • 22:53doctor,
  • 22:54Young will speak about that,
  • 22:55and doctor Tran will speak
  • 22:57about chemotherapy.
  • 22:59And then also the frequency
  • 23:00of follow-up for these patients
  • 23:02could be increased based on
  • 23:04their their,
  • 23:05forty GEP results. So an
  • 23:07example would be to escalate
  • 23:08the care for a high
  • 23:10risk,
  • 23:10GEP even if the AJCC
  • 23:13eighth edition has them as
  • 23:14a as a t one.
  • 23:15And similarly,
  • 23:16consider de escalation. I would
  • 23:17do that in the context
  • 23:18of a multidisciplinary
  • 23:20group,
  • 23:20the care for low risk
  • 23:22GEP even if it was
  • 23:23a, like, a t three.
  • 23:25So takeaway points from this,
  • 23:27this was this, gene,
  • 23:30forty, GEP test was validated,
  • 23:34retrospectively.
  • 23:35And I would say with,
  • 23:37some advanced stage tumors underrepresented,
  • 23:40further prospective studies are certainly
  • 23:42needed for us to have
  • 23:43a better handle on how
  • 23:44this can impact, future treatment
  • 23:46and patient outcomes.
  • 23:48There is a role, I
  • 23:49think, for using it as
  • 23:50an adjunct to our current
  • 23:51guidelines, but not to replace
  • 23:53them and to have it
  • 23:54be part of a multidisciplinary,
  • 23:56discussion.
  • 23:57And again, used could be
  • 23:58used to escalate care. So
  • 24:00that first case presentation,
  • 24:02perhaps that I'm sorry, the
  • 24:03second case presentation where he
  • 24:05had a rapid recurrence,
  • 24:06perhaps he's somebody that could
  • 24:08have gone quickly to radiation,
  • 24:11to,
  • 24:12as a response to that
  • 24:13T2,
  • 24:15or the the 2b class
  • 24:17from the forty GEP.
  • 24:19And I think it's also
  • 24:20important to note that,
  • 24:22of the studies included here
  • 24:23and a majority of the
  • 24:24ones that have been published,
  • 24:25they are, industry funded,
  • 24:28in some way. So I
  • 24:29think it's just important to
  • 24:30to keep it to to
  • 24:31keep that in mind as
  • 24:33we continue to determine the
  • 24:35usability of these tests.
  • 24:38Thank you.
  • 24:43Alright. Thank you, Ansley. I'm
  • 24:46going to go ahead and
  • 24:47present the, radiation oncologist
  • 24:50perspective
  • 24:51on,
  • 24:52our approaches to cutaneous,
  • 24:55squain.
  • 24:57Let me just get these
  • 24:58slides going.
  • 25:00Alright.
  • 25:01So,
  • 25:02I'm Melissa Young. I'm, the
  • 25:04radiation oncologist on the panel
  • 25:06today,
  • 25:07one of the specialists in
  • 25:08our,
  • 25:09head and neck,
  • 25:11department within the the department
  • 25:13of radiation oncology.
  • 25:15And I just want really
  • 25:15wanted to focus specifically on,
  • 25:19you know, how
  • 25:20how we look at these
  • 25:21high risk skin cancers and
  • 25:22how we have to think
  • 25:23about the use of adjuvant
  • 25:24radiotherapy
  • 25:25as a risk reductive strategy
  • 25:27to to reduce risk of
  • 25:28recurrence.
  • 25:29We've already heard the data
  • 25:30indicating that these high risk,
  • 25:32very high risk cancers that
  • 25:33have a, you know,
  • 25:35potential risk for recurrence and
  • 25:37how are we going to
  • 25:38kind of use this data
  • 25:39and potentially gene expression profiling
  • 25:42to to kind of refine
  • 25:43our selection of who may
  • 25:45warrant adjuvant treatment and who
  • 25:47could potentially,
  • 25:49forego adjuvant treatment.
  • 25:51So,
  • 25:52as has already been demonstrated
  • 25:54that the mainstay of treatment
  • 25:56for skin cancer,
  • 25:57is for surgery upfront.
  • 26:00There are situations in where
  • 26:01radiotherapy might be used in
  • 26:03the definitive setting. It's usually,
  • 26:06reserved for patients who are
  • 26:07either deemed unresectable
  • 26:09or are refusing surgery itself.
  • 26:12When it comes to early
  • 26:13stage cutaneous,
  • 26:15squamous,
  • 26:16radiation has equivalent cure rates
  • 26:18to that of surgery, but
  • 26:19it is time intensive. Radiation
  • 26:21is not a single treatment,
  • 26:22much like surgery can be
  • 26:23done in a single office
  • 26:24visit. This is eight sessions
  • 26:25over the course of a
  • 26:26month at minimum,
  • 26:28but many may require thirty
  • 26:29to thirty five sessions over
  • 26:30six to seven weeks. And
  • 26:32there also are going to
  • 26:33be, morbidity and side effects
  • 26:35associated with radiation treatment.
  • 26:38So it's not necessarily going
  • 26:39to be our go to
  • 26:40for upfront management and it
  • 26:41could potentially preclude the use
  • 26:43of radiation if the patient
  • 26:44were to ever have a
  • 26:45second cancer because you really
  • 26:47can't, shouldn't give radiation to
  • 26:48the same part of the
  • 26:49body twice.
  • 26:50So
  • 26:51therefore radiation is really an
  • 26:53adjunct, in the adjuvant setting
  • 26:55for high risk or very
  • 26:56high risk skin cancers.
  • 26:58Now I know that this
  • 26:59has already been reviewed to
  • 27:01some degree. This is just
  • 27:03NCCN guidelines of kind of
  • 27:04where radiation
  • 27:05therapy may play in
  • 27:07in, the
  • 27:09care for a patient with
  • 27:11a high risk or very
  • 27:12high risk skin cancer. And
  • 27:13again, just pointing out that
  • 27:14this is really at the
  • 27:15end of treatment,
  • 27:16surgeries performed, you're looking at
  • 27:18patients who have positive margins
  • 27:20or other pathologic risk factors
  • 27:22for those with negative margins
  • 27:23that may warrant consideration
  • 27:25of radiation therapy.
  • 27:28We've already seen the risk
  • 27:29stratification,
  • 27:31data that's,
  • 27:32in the previous presentation, so
  • 27:34I won't belabor that. But
  • 27:35again, NCCN has,
  • 27:38low risk, high risk, and
  • 27:39very high risk,
  • 27:40and Brigham and Women similarly
  • 27:42has
  • 27:43similar pathologic features that would
  • 27:45also can be considered as
  • 27:47risk factors
  • 27:48to maybe help guide those
  • 27:49patients who are at higher
  • 27:50risk for recurrence.
  • 27:53When it comes to adjuvant
  • 27:54radiation, again, we're really reserving
  • 27:56this usually to our very
  • 27:57high risk patients or certain
  • 27:59high risk situations
  • 28:00like recurrent tumors, patients who
  • 28:02are immune suppressed and have
  • 28:04higher local recurrence risk,
  • 28:06or those with T2B or
  • 28:08higher tumors.
  • 28:10Interestingly,
  • 28:10despite how common cutaneous
  • 28:13squamous are, the data,
  • 28:16prospective data in terms of
  • 28:18the efficacy of adjuvant radiation
  • 28:19is really lacking.
  • 28:21We really much much of
  • 28:23the data has just been
  • 28:23derived from retrospective reports,
  • 28:26and therefore,
  • 28:28really truly teasing out who
  • 28:29might truly benefit from treatment
  • 28:31or not is is not
  • 28:33well defined.
  • 28:34Similarly,
  • 28:35when it comes to radiation,
  • 28:37I'm someone who's offering radiation
  • 28:39to a certain part of
  • 28:40the body, much like a
  • 28:41surgeon is gonna remove the
  • 28:42area of the tumor.
  • 28:44So radiation,
  • 28:46can either be,
  • 28:47administered just to the primary
  • 28:49site where the where the
  • 28:50surgery,
  • 28:52removed the tumor itself,
  • 28:54especially in a clinically node
  • 28:55negative patient, although radiation may
  • 28:58also include draining lymphatics.
  • 29:00And in these retrospective reports,
  • 29:02it's very hard to kinda
  • 29:03tease out was this primary
  • 29:04site radiation, was it primary
  • 29:05plus regional radiation, and so
  • 29:07kinda how can we also
  • 29:08tease out the efficacy based
  • 29:10on our target of the
  • 29:11radiation is also less clear.
  • 29:14I also want to point
  • 29:14out that, you know, we
  • 29:16don't want to overdo radiation
  • 29:18in every patient who comes
  • 29:19to our practice because the
  • 29:20more of someone you radiate
  • 29:22the more side effects you're
  • 29:23gonna then kind of subject
  • 29:25that patient to that can
  • 29:26affect life on quality of
  • 29:27life,
  • 29:28especially if you're talking about
  • 29:29things in the head and
  • 29:30neck region where you're talking
  • 29:31about salivary gland exposure, dry
  • 29:33mouth, lymphedema,
  • 29:35scar tissue, and also potentially
  • 29:37again eliminating radiation as an
  • 29:39option should there be another
  • 29:40cancer in this person's lifetime.
  • 29:44Kind of to the point
  • 29:45of
  • 29:46the limited prospective data regarding
  • 29:49the efficacy of adjuvant radiation
  • 29:50we really don't have much
  • 29:51but there
  • 29:53just in the last few
  • 29:54months another very large retrospective
  • 29:56cohort was described with patients
  • 29:59with very high risk disease,
  • 30:01including multiple institutions where they
  • 30:04looked into their databases finding
  • 30:06twelve sixty seven patients who
  • 30:07met high risk criteria but
  • 30:09of note only twelve percent
  • 30:11or so are receiving adjuvant
  • 30:12radiation treatment.
  • 30:14But in this retrospective cohort
  • 30:16what we do find is
  • 30:17adjuvant radiation does reduce the
  • 30:19risk of both local, local
  • 30:20regional as well as nodal
  • 30:22recurrence by fifty percent. And
  • 30:23here are just the Kaplan
  • 30:25Meier curves demonstrating that.
  • 30:27Importantly, and I think where
  • 30:29we, you know, where gene
  • 30:30expression profiling might come in,
  • 30:32to help sub stratify is
  • 30:33is we're not seeing overall
  • 30:35survival benefit. We're definitely seeing
  • 30:37local control benefit and there's
  • 30:39value to that but we're
  • 30:39not necessarily seeing a survival
  • 30:41benefit. So if we can
  • 30:42identify those patients who could
  • 30:43potentially have a survival benefit
  • 30:45it might also help us
  • 30:46prevent that patient who may
  • 30:48ultimately succumb as the second
  • 30:49case in the previous presentation.
  • 30:52So within this this
  • 30:54particular retrospective series they did
  • 30:56want to look at patients
  • 30:57who may have higher risk
  • 30:58disease and they kind of
  • 30:59sub stratified this by patients
  • 31:01who are t2b but with
  • 31:02three of the criteria,
  • 31:04the T3s
  • 31:05as well as those with
  • 31:06LVI and they found within
  • 31:08that twelve hundred patients, two
  • 31:10forty six, that met this
  • 31:11higher risk subtype,
  • 31:13thirty percent of that population
  • 31:15did receive adjuvant treatment.
  • 31:17And we're, we're still seeing
  • 31:20similarly a fifty percent reduction
  • 31:21in local recurrence but certainly
  • 31:23that absolute benefit is better
  • 31:24because you've now identified a
  • 31:26potentially higher risk subgroup so
  • 31:27those patients are more likely
  • 31:29to benefit. Still not seeing
  • 31:30a disease specific,
  • 31:32survival benefit, however.
  • 31:35This is where, you know,
  • 31:37gene expression profiling is is
  • 31:39there's a lot of optimism
  • 31:40that this could potentially help
  • 31:41further identify subgroups that may
  • 31:43benefit from radiotherapy.
  • 31:46So, you
  • 31:47know, in incorporating this in
  • 31:49future randomized trials I think
  • 31:50will also really be important
  • 31:51of trying to help delineate,
  • 31:53without bias,
  • 31:55how radiation therapy may may
  • 31:57be beneficial,
  • 31:58in this group of patients.
  • 32:01I wanted to
  • 32:02present
  • 32:04the same group that has
  • 32:05this forty gene expression profile
  • 32:07panel
  • 32:08also looked at their database
  • 32:09of the patients comparing those
  • 32:11who had radiation and who
  • 32:12did not.
  • 32:14And they are seeing a
  • 32:15benefit
  • 32:16or being able to use
  • 32:17their class system to help
  • 32:19identify subgroups of patients that
  • 32:20may actually truly benefit from
  • 32:22radiotherapy
  • 32:23and those who may have
  • 32:23lower risk disease
  • 32:25despite classically being considered high
  • 32:27risk or very high risk
  • 32:29who could potentially
  • 32:31omit radiotherapy as part of
  • 32:32their care.
  • 32:33So
  • 32:35specifically they again this is
  • 32:37a gene expression profiling
  • 32:39looking at in total about
  • 32:41four hundred and some patients
  • 32:42in this particular
  • 32:44cohort of patients that they
  • 32:45evaluated who had classically high
  • 32:47risk disease or very high
  • 32:49risk disease
  • 32:50but subclassifying
  • 32:51them into the class I,
  • 32:52the class IIA or the
  • 32:53class IIB based on the
  • 32:55gene expression profiling.
  • 32:57Again small numbers only about
  • 32:58thirteen twelve twelve to thirteen
  • 33:00percent of patients actually receiving
  • 33:01adjuvant treatment in this group
  • 33:02but kind of spread across
  • 33:03class 1a, class 2a and
  • 33:05class 2b.
  • 33:06And when they again look
  • 33:07at the Kaplan Meier curves
  • 33:09where we're seeing the largest
  • 33:10benefit in the left side
  • 33:11of the screen here are
  • 33:13the class 2b patients. Their
  • 33:14risk of metastasis
  • 33:17with,
  • 33:18without radiotherapy
  • 33:20are indicated by that dotted
  • 33:21line in red.
  • 33:23Whereas those that did receive
  • 33:24radiotherapy
  • 33:25actually had a dramatic benefit
  • 33:27reduction in risk of recurrence.
  • 33:28Now these are low numbers
  • 33:30but it does you know
  • 33:31suggest that we could identify
  • 33:32a group that's more likely
  • 33:33to benefit from radiotherapy.
  • 33:36The right sided panel really
  • 33:37just kind of shows this
  • 33:39this benefit in in a
  • 33:40different graphical way where class
  • 33:42one a patients,
  • 33:43despite meeting high risk criteria
  • 33:46based on gene expression profiling
  • 33:48from the small group of
  • 33:49patients may not necessarily
  • 33:51benefit from adjuvant treatment because
  • 33:52their risk seems to already
  • 33:54be so low of recurrence
  • 33:55already.
  • 33:56Whereas those with class two
  • 33:57a are those where we
  • 33:58might consider radiotherapy.
  • 34:00There does seem to be
  • 34:01some potential benefit there, but
  • 34:03not quite as much of
  • 34:04a benefit as what we're
  • 34:05seeing in in that small
  • 34:06group of two class two
  • 34:07b patients.
  • 34:09So some of the take
  • 34:10home points I take from
  • 34:11from the the forty, you
  • 34:13know, gene expression panel that's
  • 34:15available out there is is
  • 34:16that I think we need
  • 34:17prospective trials to better understand,
  • 34:20you know, how we can
  • 34:21identify patients who benefit from
  • 34:24this tool to help us
  • 34:25better stratify our patients in
  • 34:27terms of risk reductive adjuvant
  • 34:29strategies.
  • 34:30In this retrospective cohort of
  • 34:32patients,
  • 34:33against small numbers, but it
  • 34:35would seem that they have
  • 34:37identified
  • 34:38a class one gene expression
  • 34:40profile that
  • 34:41may
  • 34:42help
  • 34:43determine patients that
  • 34:45radiation could be safely omitted,
  • 34:47it could help reduce cost
  • 34:48of the healthcare system, but
  • 34:49also importantly prevent putting someone
  • 34:51through side effects that could
  • 34:52affect quality of life moving
  • 34:53forward because of the side
  • 34:54effects radiation can cause.
  • 34:58I think what's gonna be
  • 34:59an important question to be
  • 35:00answered is how do I
  • 35:01how do we know what
  • 35:02the benefit of radiation is
  • 35:03in terms of what part
  • 35:04of the body we're treating?
  • 35:06So I mentioned earlier, there's
  • 35:08no clear guidance in terms
  • 35:09of do you treat the
  • 35:10tumors tumor bed only or
  • 35:11do you treat the tumor
  • 35:12bed plus the nodes?
  • 35:14I do know that there
  • 35:15is interest in a,
  • 35:17in,
  • 35:18randomized trial to be designed
  • 35:19where they would stratify patients
  • 35:21based on class two a
  • 35:22or class two b,
  • 35:24randomizing
  • 35:24them to radiation to the
  • 35:26tumor bed only versus tumor
  • 35:28bed plus nodal radiation, and
  • 35:30c, are we seeing a
  • 35:31benefit? Because it's not clear
  • 35:32if you just radiate the
  • 35:33primary site. Maybe we're preventing
  • 35:35cancer cells from spreading to
  • 35:36the nodes, and and maybe
  • 35:37all the benefit is just
  • 35:38treating the tumor bed. So
  • 35:40so this trial is hoping
  • 35:41to to
  • 35:42kind of identify
  • 35:43where where the benefit comes
  • 35:45because if radiation is important
  • 35:47as a risk reductive strategy,
  • 35:48but we can identify a
  • 35:50more localized radiation field that
  • 35:52has less side effects for
  • 35:53a patient with the same
  • 35:54benefit,
  • 35:55I I think that's important
  • 35:56for us to to understand.
  • 35:58And also this prospective trial
  • 35:59would theoretically also help confirm
  • 36:02in a prospective manner class
  • 36:03one patients could safely have
  • 36:05radiation omitted.
  • 36:07And then long long, you
  • 36:08know, big picture is
  • 36:10a small number, only about
  • 36:12twelve percent of patients based
  • 36:13on a lot of these,
  • 36:14you know, retrospective studies are
  • 36:15actually receiving radiotherapy
  • 36:16despite meeting a high risk,
  • 36:18very high risk categories.
  • 36:21Can this gene expression profiling
  • 36:23help, again, identify those patients
  • 36:25who do have higher risk,
  • 36:26who would have a greater
  • 36:27benefit so that we could
  • 36:28help prevent morbidity of recurrence?
  • 36:30Are those the patients that
  • 36:31it's worth putting through side
  • 36:33effects and making sure we're
  • 36:34kind of funneling into the
  • 36:35radiation oncology,
  • 36:36you know, adjuvant therapy?
  • 36:39And having that shared decision
  • 36:40making, discussion with the patient
  • 36:42is also really helpful. Having
  • 36:43this gene profile class
  • 36:45stratification might help a patient
  • 36:47make an informed decision.
  • 36:49Since we're not seeing a
  • 36:50survival benefit necessarily based on
  • 36:52the small numbers,
  • 36:53It's really coming down to
  • 36:55how much do they value
  • 36:56preventing a local recurrence potentially.
  • 36:58And how we view these
  • 37:00gene expression panels and how
  • 37:02we incorporate our medical decision
  • 37:04making about adjuvant radiation is
  • 37:05probably also going to be
  • 37:07ultimately influenced
  • 37:09by systemic therapy options becoming
  • 37:11available.
  • 37:11Doctor. Tramm will talk about
  • 37:12this kind of at the
  • 37:13end summarizing this, but, you
  • 37:15know, other systemic therapies that
  • 37:17are available, other risk reductive
  • 37:18strategies that may have a
  • 37:19different side effect profile
  • 37:21may also frame how we
  • 37:23offer adjuvant treatment even in
  • 37:24the gene expression,
  • 37:26profiling era.
  • 37:31That's wonderful. I don't see
  • 37:33any questions in the chat
  • 37:34or the Q and A,
  • 37:35but just want to remind
  • 37:37everyone to please
  • 37:38ask us questions.
  • 37:40You know, doctor Roche, I
  • 37:42was curious, and also doctor
  • 37:43Susie,
  • 37:44if you had had received
  • 37:46and I asked doctor Roche
  • 37:47as she's our our PI
  • 37:48locally of the NRG Neo
  • 37:50adjuvant
  • 37:51cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma trial.
  • 37:54Would you be more or
  • 37:55less likely to enroll a
  • 37:57patient that maybe had a
  • 37:58smaller
  • 38:00tumor that you may not
  • 38:01have been as suspicious about
  • 38:03if they had a category
  • 38:04two a or b on
  • 38:06your trial?
  • 38:08Yep. You're referring to the
  • 38:09neoadjuvant simlopimab trial? That's yep.
  • 38:11Yeah.
  • 38:12So a smaller tumor, but
  • 38:14a higher higher,
  • 38:16biological class on the gene
  • 38:19panel.
  • 38:20I would I you know,
  • 38:21it's interesting because we as
  • 38:23we're
  • 38:24accruing for this trial and
  • 38:25seeing how patients do, you
  • 38:27know, it overall has a
  • 38:28has a very substantial
  • 38:32success rate in previous studies,
  • 38:34but we are seeing some
  • 38:35patients progressing.
  • 38:37And so I do wonder,
  • 38:38and I've you know, as
  • 38:40as we've been talking about
  • 38:41this, I've I was thinking,
  • 38:43is is this something that
  • 38:44could be added to an
  • 38:45existing clinical trial,
  • 38:48as an additional piece of
  • 38:49information to have about these
  • 38:50tumors,
  • 38:52we have patients that respond
  • 38:53very well to suniplumab,
  • 38:55and then we're seeing patients
  • 38:56that don't respond and that
  • 38:57they progress.
  • 38:59So this could be, you
  • 39:01know, provide some missing information.
  • 39:03But having that information to
  • 39:05your point,
  • 39:06you know, might might raise
  • 39:07some questions about maybe they
  • 39:09should just go ahead and
  • 39:10have surgery,
  • 39:11rather than,
  • 39:13rather than enroll in a
  • 39:14clinical trial.
  • 39:16I would also say that,
  • 39:19in response to that question
  • 39:20about enrollment in the clinical
  • 39:22trial is that one of
  • 39:23the issues is sometimes we
  • 39:24don't have the full staging
  • 39:26picture until after they have
  • 39:27the MOSE procedure. Right? If
  • 39:29the perineural invasion is not
  • 39:31captured in the original biopsy,
  • 39:33we're not realizing
  • 39:34until,
  • 39:35their full stage
  • 39:37until after they've had surgery.
  • 39:38So having that GEP class
  • 39:40prior to surgery,
  • 39:42can help restratify,
  • 39:44when you may not have
  • 39:45all of the high risk
  • 39:46features identified
  • 39:48prior pre op.
  • 39:52Okay.
  • 39:54So we're gonna shift gears
  • 39:56and,
  • 39:57go into the magical world
  • 39:59of melanoma.
  • 40:02But, you know, some of
  • 40:03my introduction is really gonna
  • 40:05amplify
  • 40:06some incredibly
  • 40:07important
  • 40:08points that have already been
  • 40:10made by doctor Young.
  • 40:13I'll share my screen.
  • 40:21Screen,
  • 40:23it's visible, everyone?
  • 40:25Okay.
  • 40:26So
  • 40:28the
  • 40:29current landscape for melanoma
  • 40:32about how we determine high
  • 40:33risk disease is very different
  • 40:36than
  • 40:37where we are with cutaneous
  • 40:38squamous cell. So again, mostly
  • 40:41based on clinical pathologic
  • 40:42features.
  • 40:43And, really importantly, for melanoma,
  • 40:46we really routinely use sentinel
  • 40:48node biopsy based on the
  • 40:50MSLT one
  • 40:52trial. And the clinical path
  • 40:54features, many of which, you
  • 40:55know, similar to what doctor
  • 40:57Suzy had begun the conversation
  • 40:59with, are are some very,
  • 41:00very well validated,
  • 41:03nomograms.
  • 41:04And some of the recent
  • 41:05changes
  • 41:06to the
  • 41:08NCCN guidelines
  • 41:10are incorporating actually using nomogram
  • 41:13driven risk factors instead of
  • 41:15the classic
  • 41:16clinical pathologic
  • 41:17features that had driven those
  • 41:19decision making
  • 41:20processes. But universally,
  • 41:22as
  • 41:23a as a group, we've
  • 41:24agreed that
  • 41:25a sentinel lymph node biopsy
  • 41:27risk between five to ten
  • 41:29percent
  • 41:30requires a discussion,
  • 41:31and ten or above
  • 41:33usually will be typically recommended
  • 41:35for a medically fit patient
  • 41:38in which the results of
  • 41:39the sentinel node are actually
  • 41:41going to be impactful.
  • 41:42And
  • 41:43remember, the sentinel node is
  • 41:45what we use for risk
  • 41:46prognostication
  • 41:47to
  • 41:48better
  • 41:49delineate
  • 41:50where we are. Are we
  • 41:51stage one? Are we stage
  • 41:53three? Where are we in
  • 41:54between? And it really has
  • 41:56a great discriminatory
  • 41:57value.
  • 41:58However, we're always faced with
  • 42:00the challenges. You know,
  • 42:02our overtreated patient. Right? There's
  • 42:04gonna be some patients in
  • 42:06melanoma that are gonna be
  • 42:07cured by surgery
  • 42:09alone. They don't gain anything
  • 42:10by watching them closer. They
  • 42:12don't gain anything
  • 42:13from getting adjuvant therapy,
  • 42:16but they bear real financial
  • 42:17and emotional cost as well
  • 42:19as toxicity.
  • 42:21Then we have the other
  • 42:22patients that we're missing, the
  • 42:24undertreated patients. And, you know,
  • 42:26we worry a lot about
  • 42:27these in our most common
  • 42:28presentation for melanoma, which is
  • 42:30our earlier stage patients.
  • 42:32We know there's a small
  • 42:33percentage of these patients that
  • 42:35are recur
  • 42:36and
  • 42:37they go untreated
  • 42:38and that group gets missed.
  • 42:40And when we think about
  • 42:41it, it becomes an amplified
  • 42:43problem. So we have a
  • 42:44very small percentage, but that
  • 42:45percentage
  • 42:47absolutely
  • 42:48represents a large group of
  • 42:49patients because if, you know,
  • 42:51over eighty percent of our
  • 42:52patients are going to be
  • 42:53early, even a small percentage
  • 42:55of that becomes a bigger
  • 42:57problem.
  • 42:58And, again, our overall goal
  • 42:59is we only want to
  • 43:00treat patients that are going
  • 43:01to relapse. We want to
  • 43:03spare anyone that would be
  • 43:04cured with surgery. And in
  • 43:05order to do this, we
  • 43:06have to try to be
  • 43:07better
  • 43:08at accurate risk stratification.
  • 43:12So again, our AJCC
  • 43:13staging, it's it's good, but
  • 43:15it's not sufficient. We're striving
  • 43:17to keep doing that. That's
  • 43:18why it's always iterative, why
  • 43:20it gets improved.
  • 43:21So it does provide some
  • 43:22valuable baseline prognostication,
  • 43:25but there's a lot of
  • 43:25heterogeneity,
  • 43:26there's a lot of overlap
  • 43:27within these categories that we're
  • 43:29working to parse out. And
  • 43:31again, that's the question about
  • 43:32not only nomograms, but does
  • 43:34the GEP testing
  • 43:36help us to get a
  • 43:37more individualized
  • 43:38risk for these patients?
  • 43:41Again, that stage 1b2a
  • 43:44patient group is really where
  • 43:45I think that this is
  • 43:46a real unmet need where
  • 43:48we may be under treating
  • 43:49but also overtreating
  • 43:51part of that population,
  • 43:53so
  • 43:54we really need to be
  • 43:55able to distinguish these groups
  • 43:58so gene expression profile arrays
  • 44:00have been around for almost
  • 44:02fifteen years now in melanoma,
  • 44:04again much earlier in their
  • 44:05inception and use for cutaneous
  • 44:07squamous cell And there's three
  • 44:09main ones that are commercially
  • 44:10available,
  • 44:11two available in the States.
  • 44:13One is only available in
  • 44:15Germany, so the Castle Bioscience
  • 44:17is probably
  • 44:18the oldest one that had
  • 44:19been used. The more recent
  • 44:21one is the,
  • 44:22the CPGEP,
  • 44:24commonly known as the Merlin
  • 44:26assay,
  • 44:27which will speak in great
  • 44:29detail, both myself and Doctor.
  • 44:30Christiansen.
  • 44:31And then an eleven gene
  • 44:33GEP, the Melligenics, and that's
  • 44:35used over in Germany.
  • 44:37Each of them actually use
  • 44:39completely different genes. So within
  • 44:41all of these,
  • 44:43prognostic and reference genes, they
  • 44:45actually do not overlap.
  • 44:48Some use clinical
  • 44:49pathologic variables, so that's in
  • 44:51the DECISION DX as well
  • 44:53as the Merlin assay, but
  • 44:54not in the melaninics.
  • 44:56The output in the DECISION
  • 44:59DX, the thirty one GEP,
  • 45:01when it includes clinical pathologic,
  • 45:03that makes it the I
  • 45:04thirty one GEP.
  • 45:05That's broken into four different
  • 45:07classes versus the other two
  • 45:09are really higher low risk
  • 45:10binary categories.
  • 45:13The
  • 45:14thirty one GEP,
  • 45:15that was initially developed actually
  • 45:17for overall prognosis,
  • 45:19but then is now more
  • 45:20developed towards giving
  • 45:22some guidance for who we
  • 45:23should be doing sentinel nodes.
  • 45:25Merlin assay was really more
  • 45:26developed with sentinel nodes, although
  • 45:28there is perhaps some prognostic
  • 45:31cation that can be done
  • 45:32versus the g e the
  • 45:33eleven g e p is
  • 45:34really focused on stage two
  • 45:37disease
  • 45:37and prognostic
  • 45:39variables.
  • 45:40These can be variably
  • 45:42reimbursed. If we look at
  • 45:43the cost of a sentinel
  • 45:44node, that can range from
  • 45:45nine to eleven thousand dollars
  • 45:47in the states,
  • 45:49and some of these GEP
  • 45:50assays can cost, if they're
  • 45:52not covered by insurance, anywhere
  • 45:54from,
  • 45:55three to seven thousand dollars
  • 45:57depending upon insurance status.
  • 45:59So and right now, the
  • 46:01thirty one GEP has not
  • 46:02been recommended
  • 46:04by any of the major
  • 46:05societies.
  • 46:06Just this year, the NCCN
  • 46:08on the basis of the,
  • 46:10Merlin o o one randomized
  • 46:12clinical trial,
  • 46:13has included this.
  • 46:15And there is actually and
  • 46:17doctor Tran will talk a
  • 46:18little bit more about the
  • 46:19nivo mela phase three trial,
  • 46:21which is actually doing a
  • 46:23identifying the high risk group
  • 46:25and actually randomizing
  • 46:27those patients to receive either
  • 46:28adjuvant nivolumab
  • 46:30or placebo
  • 46:31for our high risk stage
  • 46:33two patients.
  • 46:35So looking a little bit
  • 46:36into what is the best
  • 46:37data that's available
  • 46:39to review, so for the
  • 46:40thirty one GEP,
  • 46:42there was a prospective decide
  • 46:43study,
  • 46:45again,
  • 46:46for what it was looking
  • 46:47for. So the negative predictive
  • 46:48value means how much can
  • 46:50you trust when someone says
  • 46:53that this is not gonna
  • 46:55be a positive sentinel note,
  • 46:56so very, very good negative
  • 46:58predictive
  • 46:59value in these low risk
  • 47:01patients, which you want. There's
  • 47:02a low prevalence. We don't
  • 47:04wanna have a lot of
  • 47:05people that have disease that
  • 47:07we didn't detect.
  • 47:09Now
  • 47:10the problem though is that
  • 47:12it not very good at
  • 47:13identifying who are the outliers.
  • 47:15Right? If everybody in your
  • 47:17test, they can identify and
  • 47:19I we already said that
  • 47:20there are t one a
  • 47:21patients that are going to
  • 47:23relapse.
  • 47:24If your test can't discriminate
  • 47:25between that, you know, there
  • 47:27there becomes some issue. But,
  • 47:29again, if it's negative, that
  • 47:31negative predictive value seems to
  • 47:33be very good with this.
  • 47:36The MERLIN one is the
  • 47:38largest prospective
  • 47:39GEP trial to date, you
  • 47:41know, seventeen hundred
  • 47:43patients,
  • 47:44looking from, again, T1a through
  • 47:46T3.
  • 47:48Again, at patients who we're
  • 47:49the most worried about and
  • 47:51I think that there's very
  • 47:52little debate whether or not
  • 47:53they should get a sentinel
  • 47:54node biopsy,
  • 47:56again,
  • 47:58it's really not going to
  • 47:59be that discriminatory.
  • 48:01However, in the group of
  • 48:02patients here, these high risk
  • 48:04t one a's, t one
  • 48:06b's, t two a's, these
  • 48:07are our class,
  • 48:09clinical stage one b patients.
  • 48:11Right?
  • 48:12Really good utility
  • 48:14that we're seeing here.
  • 48:18Very good discriminatory
  • 48:20capacity, and and this may
  • 48:21be its greatest
  • 48:23value.
  • 48:24The assay has a good
  • 48:25success rate from also getting
  • 48:26the FFPBE
  • 48:28tissue,
  • 48:29and in these important categories
  • 48:31here, this clinical 1b, but
  • 48:33also in our older patients,
  • 48:34where risks of general anesthesia,
  • 48:36which you have to have
  • 48:37to have a central note,
  • 48:38are different.
  • 48:39So in these in the
  • 48:40patients that are low risk,
  • 48:42again, six point six percent
  • 48:44versus these patients that are
  • 48:45being
  • 48:46identified at high risk and
  • 48:48where we're actually confirming that
  • 48:49that's the case, I think
  • 48:51that this is also a
  • 48:52group that's pretty powerful.
  • 48:57It's been validated
  • 48:58independently now. This is a
  • 49:00recent data from, a Dutch
  • 49:03trial. Again, sensitivity
  • 49:04about ninety two point five
  • 49:06percent, a good negative
  • 49:08predictive value at ninety four
  • 49:10percent.
  • 49:11Again, specifically
  • 49:12at that group where we
  • 49:14actually have a real gray
  • 49:15area, where we have real
  • 49:16focused conversations in the clinic.
  • 49:19And, again, we see discrimination
  • 49:21between the recurrence free, distant
  • 49:23metastasis free, and the melanoma
  • 49:25specific survival
  • 49:27between these groups.
  • 49:28Okay? And, again, the these
  • 49:31as you draw them out,
  • 49:32these are conversations
  • 49:34that you wanna have with
  • 49:35your patients,
  • 49:36things that help us discriminate
  • 49:38about what we're gonna do,
  • 49:39what decisions that we're going
  • 49:41to make.
  • 49:44And and, again, this is,
  • 49:47from,
  • 49:49Yu et al, from, again,
  • 49:50just recently published. Again, looking
  • 49:52more specifically at t one
  • 49:54a melanomas and graphically
  • 49:56over here, you can see
  • 49:57that the they're detecting some
  • 49:59of these outliers,
  • 50:01the very group of people
  • 50:02that may have high risk
  • 50:03features. Again, it's a low
  • 50:05prevalence. It's a low group
  • 50:06of patients. So, again, we'll
  • 50:08all have to benefit the
  • 50:09cost and benefit
  • 50:10of that as well as
  • 50:11when we think about if
  • 50:12it's a low prevalence,
  • 50:14you may have more false
  • 50:15positives. Right? So a lot
  • 50:17of this is focused on,
  • 50:18you know, if it's a
  • 50:19negative test, can you trust
  • 50:20that? Right? So things that
  • 50:22we all have to think
  • 50:23about. And, again, a lot
  • 50:24of this data, you could
  • 50:25spend hours delving into.
  • 50:28For head and neck populations
  • 50:29where we worry about false
  • 50:31negatives in sentinel nodes, that
  • 50:33that rate is higher than
  • 50:34what we have on the
  • 50:34trunk and extremities,
  • 50:36again, recent study just published,
  • 50:38again, looking to validate,
  • 50:41the
  • 50:42the CPGP,
  • 50:43again, seems to be
  • 50:45none not different than what
  • 50:47we're seeing in the extremities,
  • 50:49which is really important.
  • 50:53So
  • 50:54when we're looking just for
  • 50:55sentinel node and decision making,
  • 50:57again,
  • 50:58if we kind of look
  • 50:59at things head to head,
  • 51:00there's some benefits but detriments,
  • 51:02I think, of each of
  • 51:03the assays. The thirty one
  • 51:05GEP and I thirty one
  • 51:06GEP, which has been around
  • 51:07the longest,
  • 51:09you know, is not great
  • 51:11at discriminating
  • 51:12amongst that t one a
  • 51:14category,
  • 51:15where it hasn't been validated.
  • 51:19There's
  • 51:20with both of them, we're
  • 51:21gonna see that there's decreasing
  • 51:23the number of central lymph
  • 51:24nodes in theory that we
  • 51:25would perform.
  • 51:27Almost all of this except
  • 51:28for the DECIDE
  • 51:29trial was also done only
  • 51:31in retrospective
  • 51:32series and really wasn't powerfully
  • 51:34paired like the MERLIN trial
  • 51:36was with that assay.
  • 51:39And that really becomes the
  • 51:41difference why that
  • 51:43got the nod from the
  • 51:44NCCN,
  • 51:45just the number and the
  • 51:47work that went into
  • 51:49prospectively
  • 51:50following this,
  • 51:52internationally
  • 51:53for this.
  • 51:54Again,
  • 51:55some important
  • 51:56take homes
  • 51:57to always think about with
  • 51:59these.
  • 52:00There is industry funding and
  • 52:01authorship
  • 52:02bias. Even the best of
  • 52:03us when we when these
  • 52:05are funded, there's a lot
  • 52:06of input from these,
  • 52:09particularly
  • 52:10for
  • 52:10the g,
  • 52:11the, thirty one gene GP.
  • 52:15A lot of the data,
  • 52:16if you look at it,
  • 52:17they've been republishing some of
  • 52:18the similar datasets,
  • 52:20and that's a practice that
  • 52:22one has to be wary
  • 52:23about. So it can it
  • 52:24can almost
  • 52:25the value of that because
  • 52:27if you're publishing on the
  • 52:28same data and including some
  • 52:29and the other, it just
  • 52:30becomes really tricky when you're
  • 52:32actually trying to go through
  • 52:33the literature.
  • 52:35Again, the primary objective technically
  • 52:37wasn't met in the Merlin
  • 52:38o o one,
  • 52:40and and that was a
  • 52:41higher than expected rate, and
  • 52:42the the low risk not
  • 52:44keeping that below that five
  • 52:46percent threshold that we've tried
  • 52:48to, you know, carve out
  • 52:50as when we should consider
  • 52:51doing it. So seven point
  • 52:52one, is a little bit
  • 52:54higher than what they what
  • 52:55they thought would be.
  • 52:58There's no survival benefit. It's
  • 53:00not paired yet. Again, a
  • 53:02little bit out of the
  • 53:02scope of the conversation. Again,
  • 53:04we talked about largely retrospective
  • 53:06with the exception of the
  • 53:07Merlin trial.
  • 53:09Again,
  • 53:10really needs to discriminate
  • 53:12the very groups that we
  • 53:13wanna use them. And if
  • 53:14someone wants to use a
  • 53:15study, the threshold has to
  • 53:17be really high and how
  • 53:18well this is gonna be
  • 53:19to justify the cost that
  • 53:21it would potentially
  • 53:22be.
  • 53:23And I think that, you
  • 53:24know, I alluded to it
  • 53:25a little bit earlier,
  • 53:26there's high pulse
  • 53:28false positive rates. And the
  • 53:29very first time that I
  • 53:30ever saw a patient come
  • 53:31into clinic
  • 53:33was when I was a
  • 53:34fellow in twenty fourteen,
  • 53:36and a woman was three
  • 53:37months postpartum
  • 53:38and had had a one
  • 53:40point eight millimeter non ulcerated
  • 53:42nodular melanoma with a negative
  • 53:44sentinel node and walked into
  • 53:46clinic with a class two
  • 53:48result
  • 53:49on her GEP.
  • 53:51And
  • 53:52we were
  • 53:53at a loss about what
  • 53:54do we do.
  • 53:56Again, I I thankfully graduated
  • 53:58from fellowship, but I I
  • 53:59I do think about and
  • 54:00I wonder
  • 54:01about this young woman who
  • 54:03was thirty eight years old
  • 54:04who had come into the
  • 54:05clinic.
  • 54:06And
  • 54:07that psychological
  • 54:09cost was something that has
  • 54:11stuck with me
  • 54:12for the last
  • 54:14decade
  • 54:15about just seeing
  • 54:17what the cost is to
  • 54:18our patients
  • 54:19if they have a false
  • 54:20positive. It's nice, you know,
  • 54:22to have a really good
  • 54:23negative predictive value and say,
  • 54:25okay. If it's negative, you're
  • 54:26good.
  • 54:28But when we're not really
  • 54:30capturing or we're causing undue
  • 54:32cost to patients, and like
  • 54:34I said, it's not just
  • 54:35about
  • 54:36screening and so forth, it's
  • 54:37also about what does it
  • 54:38do to them, again,
  • 54:40we need to be really,
  • 54:41really thoughtful about that. And
  • 54:43and, again, just
  • 54:44echoing all of my colleagues,
  • 54:46you know,
  • 54:47GEP, I think it really
  • 54:49should inform shared decision making.
  • 54:51It doesn't replace
  • 54:53the conversations
  • 54:54that we have and continued
  • 54:56thoughtful interaction
  • 54:58or replace the other tools
  • 55:00that we have.
  • 55:02So with that, I will
  • 55:03I will close.
  • 55:06Stop my share.
  • 55:15Sorry, guys.
  • 55:16Can't stop sharing. Oh, there
  • 55:18it is.
  • 55:19Thanks, Kelly. That was great.
  • 55:23So I am up next.
  • 55:25Let me see if I
  • 55:25can figure out the
  • 55:27sharing process here.
  • 55:32Okay. Great.
  • 55:34So I'm Sean Christiansen. I'm
  • 55:36a dermatologist
  • 55:37and Mohs surgeon, and I'm
  • 55:38gonna shift gears slightly. And
  • 55:40instead of giving an overview
  • 55:42of GEPs, I'm gonna focus
  • 55:44on one
  • 55:45specific utilization
  • 55:47of GEP,
  • 55:48in a clinical trial, which
  • 55:49is the ICEFAN trial, which
  • 55:50I'll get to talk about,
  • 55:52in just a couple minutes.
  • 55:54So these are my disclosures,
  • 55:55and they're not relevant to
  • 55:56what I'm talking about today
  • 55:58except for the last one.
  • 55:59I I will be an
  • 56:00investigator,
  • 56:02on the the trial, which
  • 56:03is sponsored by Skyline
  • 56:05Diagnostics,
  • 56:06the company that makes the
  • 56:07Merlin
  • 56:08GEP.
  • 56:10So I'll talk first about
  • 56:11principles of surgical management of
  • 56:13localized melanoma.
  • 56:15I'm gonna take a slight
  • 56:16tangent to focus on pathologic
  • 56:18margin analysis and why that's
  • 56:19important.
  • 56:21And then we'll talk about
  • 56:22how we can use GEP
  • 56:24for predicting nodal metastasis
  • 56:25risk and how that influences
  • 56:27our decision making and treatment.
  • 56:29And then I'll tell you
  • 56:30about the the trial,
  • 56:32that we're starting up at
  • 56:33Yale, hopefully, sometime soon.
  • 56:36So surgical management is really
  • 56:38the primary treatment for localized
  • 56:40and early stage melanoma.
  • 56:42And just to review, the
  • 56:43goals of surgical excision are
  • 56:45are to accurately stage the
  • 56:46tumor, which is just as
  • 56:48important now as it ever
  • 56:49was, especially in the era
  • 56:51of targeted therapy and immunotherapy.
  • 56:53We we really need to
  • 56:54know what the risk factors
  • 56:55are to make those decisions.
  • 56:57We also wanna optimize local
  • 56:59control by achieving complete tumor
  • 57:01removal
  • 57:02while balancing that with optimizing
  • 57:04functional and cosmetic outcomes from
  • 57:05surgery.
  • 57:06And about fifty years ago,
  • 57:08the trend was to really
  • 57:09just take as wide of
  • 57:10a margin as possible.
  • 57:12But since then, we've had
  • 57:13some trials that have shown
  • 57:14that wider surgical margins are
  • 57:16not necessarily better.
  • 57:18So a large trial sponsored
  • 57:20by the WHO,
  • 57:22showed that one centimeter versus
  • 57:24three centimeter excision margins for
  • 57:26melanoma less than two millimeters
  • 57:27in-depth,
  • 57:29there was no difference in
  • 57:30disease free survival.
  • 57:31And then later on in
  • 57:32another trial,
  • 57:34a deeper melanoma greater than
  • 57:36two millimeters in-depth showed that
  • 57:37two centimeters
  • 57:39was not inferior to four
  • 57:40centimeters. So there's a trend
  • 57:42for us taking narrower margins,
  • 57:43which can still be curative
  • 57:45for melanoma.
  • 57:46And the question is how
  • 57:47narrow can we go?
  • 57:49Before we answer that question,
  • 57:51we have to recognize
  • 57:52that skin cancer often does
  • 57:54has have irregular extension.
  • 57:56So this is something that
  • 57:57came out of a, a
  • 57:59publication in Annals of Plastic
  • 58:00Surgery many years ago. They
  • 58:02actually mapped out the three-dimensional
  • 58:05extension of the skin cancer,
  • 58:06and you can see how
  • 58:07it has many of these
  • 58:08irregular
  • 58:09strands that penetrate through the
  • 58:10subcutaneous tissue.
  • 58:12And these irregular and occult
  • 58:13islands of tumor may not
  • 58:15be detected with standard histologic
  • 58:17sections.
  • 58:19So this is why the
  • 58:20way that we process things
  • 58:21is actually really important.
  • 58:23So with standard,
  • 58:24perpendicular or bread loaf sections,
  • 58:27an elliptical specimen like this
  • 58:29is cut into these perpendicular
  • 58:31slices. Right? So we're only
  • 58:32looking at the areas where
  • 58:33we happen to take slices.
  • 58:35And if there is one
  • 58:36focal area that has a
  • 58:37positive margin with an irregular
  • 58:39extension,
  • 58:40that might not be captured
  • 58:41on these representative sections.
  • 58:43In contrast, if we use
  • 58:45en face sections with complete
  • 58:46margin analysis, we're looking at
  • 58:48the entire peripheral and deep
  • 58:50margin.
  • 58:50So any small area
  • 58:52of positivity at the margin
  • 58:54would, in fact, be detected.
  • 58:56And this is the principle
  • 58:57behind Mohs skin cancer surgery.
  • 59:00Just to review this very,
  • 59:01very briefly, this is a
  • 59:02staged excision of skin cancer
  • 59:04with intraoperative
  • 59:05frozen sections
  • 59:07examining the complete surgical margin,
  • 59:09which are read by the
  • 59:10surgeon as pathologist.
  • 59:12And it's mostly used for
  • 59:13basal and squamous cell carcinoma.
  • 59:15It has not traditionally been
  • 59:16used for melanoma
  • 59:18because it has traditionally been
  • 59:19more difficult
  • 59:20to identify melanoma on frozen
  • 59:23sections.
  • 59:24But recently, that has slightly
  • 59:26changed.
  • 59:27So now we can actually
  • 59:28use Mart one or melan
  • 59:29a immunostains
  • 59:31on frozen sections to identify
  • 59:32melanocytes.
  • 59:33So, these two images here
  • 59:35are frozen sections of skin.
  • 59:37One of them is a
  • 59:38floor example of melanoma in
  • 59:39situ. The other one is
  • 59:41normal skin with some freeze
  • 59:42artifact.
  • 59:43Any pathologist in the audience
  • 59:44will immediately recognize that it's
  • 59:46the one on the left
  • 59:47that's melanoma.
  • 59:48But for the rest of
  • 59:49us, it really helps to
  • 59:50have the immunostain.
  • 59:51So by using this immunostain,
  • 59:53we can clearly see there's
  • 59:54confluence, there's nesting, there's upward
  • 59:56scatter of melanocytes in the
  • 59:57melanoma in situ. But in
  • 59:59normal skin, we just see
  • 01:00:00a normal distribution.
  • 01:00:03And a dual center study
  • 01:00:04found that there's very high
  • 01:00:05concordance between most sections and
  • 01:00:07permanent pathology when using immunostains
  • 01:00:09to detect,
  • 01:00:10melanoma.
  • 01:00:11So, at Yale, we've actually
  • 01:00:13been doing this for a
  • 01:00:13few years now. Mostly melanoma
  • 01:00:15in situ, but a few
  • 01:00:16superficially invasive melanoma cases.
  • 01:00:19So this is a woman
  • 01:00:20with a melanoma in situ
  • 01:00:21in a very cosmetically sensitive
  • 01:00:23location on the nose. And
  • 01:00:24so we wanna try and
  • 01:00:25take as narrow of a
  • 01:00:26margin as possible. So I
  • 01:00:27ended up taking a a
  • 01:00:28four millimeter margin around this
  • 01:00:30initially.
  • 01:00:31And the area in red
  • 01:00:32is where I processed a
  • 01:00:34deep bulk specimen just to
  • 01:00:35look at that and make
  • 01:00:36sure there was no invasive
  • 01:00:37tumor.
  • 01:00:38There was, in fact, just
  • 01:00:39melanoma in situ that was
  • 01:00:40present.
  • 01:00:41But on that first layer,
  • 01:00:43there was a positive margin
  • 01:00:44at the superior edge only.
  • 01:00:46So I then was able
  • 01:00:47to take an additional stage
  • 01:00:48from there,
  • 01:00:50which was clear.
  • 01:00:51And this was the patient's
  • 01:00:52defect in the end. So
  • 01:00:54in the area inferiorly towards
  • 01:00:56the alar rim, I was
  • 01:00:57actually able to take a
  • 01:00:58narrower margin than what is
  • 01:00:59recommended by the NCCN.
  • 01:01:01And yet in the area
  • 01:01:02where the melanoma was extending
  • 01:01:03farther superiorly, I was able
  • 01:01:05to take a wider margin
  • 01:01:06and capture the melanoma to
  • 01:01:08achieve clear margins.
  • 01:01:10And then we can actually
  • 01:01:11do a local flap repair
  • 01:01:12and and spare her a
  • 01:01:14staged interpolation flap from the
  • 01:01:15forehead.
  • 01:01:16So so far, we've done
  • 01:01:18a hundred and eighty cases,
  • 01:01:19of melanoma with Mohs here
  • 01:01:21at Yale, and this number
  • 01:01:22continues to grow.
  • 01:01:24Okay.
  • 01:01:25The data supports the use
  • 01:01:26of Mohs surgery both for
  • 01:01:28melanoma in situ and for
  • 01:01:29invasive melanoma.
  • 01:01:31So far, our data is
  • 01:01:32only retrospective, so we don't
  • 01:01:33have prospective data. But the
  • 01:01:35retrospective data shows that there
  • 01:01:36is a a clear benefit
  • 01:01:38in terms of local recurrence
  • 01:01:40with Mohs surgery,
  • 01:01:41being less than one percent
  • 01:01:43compared to standard excision,
  • 01:01:44which is about eight percent.
  • 01:01:46And if we do staged
  • 01:01:47excision, not via Mohs with
  • 01:01:49permanent suction processing, but with
  • 01:01:51complete margin analysis,
  • 01:01:53we can achieve a comparable
  • 01:01:55low rate of local recurrence.
  • 01:01:56So, again, it's not magic
  • 01:01:58of Mohs surgery.
  • 01:01:59It's the way that we
  • 01:02:00examine the pathologic margin.
  • 01:02:02And so we hypothesize
  • 01:02:04that excision with complete margin
  • 01:02:06analysis may allow for both
  • 01:02:08more accurate
  • 01:02:09and more complete tumor removal
  • 01:02:10with narrower surgical margins and
  • 01:02:12thereby decreased surgical morbidity.
  • 01:02:16Okay. So we're gonna go
  • 01:02:17back to our general principle
  • 01:02:19here, of accurately staging a
  • 01:02:21tumor, and this is why
  • 01:02:21sentinel lymph node biopsy is
  • 01:02:23so critical.
  • 01:02:24It gives us that information
  • 01:02:26on micronodal
  • 01:02:27metastases,
  • 01:02:28which will influence adjuvant treatment
  • 01:02:30decisions.
  • 01:02:31However,
  • 01:02:32GEPs now offer potentially
  • 01:02:35another way to access the
  • 01:02:36same question.
  • 01:02:38So this is the CPGEP,
  • 01:02:40the clinical pathologic gene expression
  • 01:02:42profiling
  • 01:02:43Merlin test.
  • 01:02:44This is a large prospective
  • 01:02:47multicenter
  • 01:02:47blinded evaluation,
  • 01:02:49that doctor Alino already presented.
  • 01:02:51Just wanna highlight a couple
  • 01:02:52features here.
  • 01:02:54When I say blinded, it
  • 01:02:55means that the surgeons doing
  • 01:02:56the sentinel lymph node procedure
  • 01:02:58did not know the patient's
  • 01:03:00GEP results, so they were
  • 01:03:02blinded to that.
  • 01:03:04And, also, just to highlight
  • 01:03:05that this GEP includes both
  • 01:03:07the gene expression as well
  • 01:03:08as the patient's age and
  • 01:03:09Breslow death.
  • 01:03:11And that's part of the
  • 01:03:12reason why for these t
  • 01:03:13three tumors,
  • 01:03:15a very small fraction of
  • 01:03:16them are actually classified as
  • 01:03:18low risk,
  • 01:03:19both because they have an
  • 01:03:21increased,
  • 01:03:22sort of aggressiveness of their
  • 01:03:23gene expression, but also because
  • 01:03:25this test includes the Breslow
  • 01:03:27depth. So it's actually pretty
  • 01:03:28rare to get a low
  • 01:03:29risk result,
  • 01:03:31with these t three tumors,
  • 01:03:32and we can see that
  • 01:03:32it doesn't very accurately predict,
  • 01:03:35sentinel lymph node status in
  • 01:03:36these groups of patients.
  • 01:03:38However, if we go to
  • 01:03:39this stage, the stage one
  • 01:03:40b subgroup, which is t
  • 01:03:42one b and t two
  • 01:03:43a, and you'll note that
  • 01:03:44this is actually the largest
  • 01:03:45fraction of patients in this
  • 01:03:46study.
  • 01:03:48About half of these patients
  • 01:03:49overall were were classified as
  • 01:03:51GEP low risk, and we
  • 01:03:53see that it really did
  • 01:03:54impact the rate of sentinel
  • 01:03:56lymph node positivity.
  • 01:03:57So in the t one
  • 01:03:58b's, if they were low
  • 01:03:59risk, they were only five
  • 01:04:00percent, sentinel lymph node positive
  • 01:04:02compared to sixteen percent in
  • 01:04:04the high risk,
  • 01:04:06similar for t two a.
  • 01:04:07So it's the stage one
  • 01:04:08b subgroup where this test
  • 01:04:10can be most useful.
  • 01:04:11And this is asking
  • 01:04:13only the specific question of
  • 01:04:15can we predict sentinel lymph
  • 01:04:17node status and thereby perhaps
  • 01:04:19avoid sentinel lymph node in
  • 01:04:20certain patients.
  • 01:04:22So then that brings us
  • 01:04:23to the trial.
  • 01:04:24So this is the ICEMAN
  • 01:04:26trial intelligent choice of excision
  • 01:04:28margin. And the primary objective
  • 01:04:30is to compare three year
  • 01:04:32recurrence free survival in patients
  • 01:04:34that are treated with narrow
  • 01:04:35excision versus wide excision.
  • 01:04:37The secondary objective is to,
  • 01:04:40assess disease free survival, especially
  • 01:04:42looking at nodal disease
  • 01:04:45in patients who were treated
  • 01:04:46with nodal surveillance without a
  • 01:04:48sentinel lymph node biopsy.
  • 01:04:49So here's a setup of
  • 01:04:50the trial. Patients with clinical
  • 01:04:52stage one invasive melanoma
  • 01:04:54that are classified as Merlin
  • 01:04:55low risk. So all patients,
  • 01:04:58are tested with the GEP,
  • 01:05:00and only those that are
  • 01:05:01low risk are enrolled in
  • 01:05:02this study. They're randomized to
  • 01:05:04either narrow excision or wide
  • 01:05:05excision. And we can see
  • 01:05:07what that actually means. Narrow
  • 01:05:08excision is zero point five
  • 01:05:09centimeters
  • 01:05:10with complete margin analysis for
  • 01:05:12high risk locations or high
  • 01:05:14risk pathology.
  • 01:05:15And then the wide excision
  • 01:05:16is standard treatment per NCCN
  • 01:05:18guidelines.
  • 01:05:20And none of these patients
  • 01:05:21will have a sentinel lymph
  • 01:05:23node biopsy as part of
  • 01:05:24the trial.
  • 01:05:26And these are the inclusion
  • 01:05:27criteria,
  • 01:05:28only t one b, t
  • 01:05:29two a,
  • 01:05:30or
  • 01:05:31t one a with depth
  • 01:05:33depth greater than zero point
  • 01:05:34five and greater than one
  • 01:05:35high risk feature, which includes
  • 01:05:37lymphovascular
  • 01:05:38invasion or mitoses.
  • 01:05:40And they all have to
  • 01:05:41be GEP low risk.
  • 01:05:44In case you need to
  • 01:05:45remind yourself what these categories
  • 01:05:47are, these are the actual
  • 01:05:48preslow deaths.
  • 01:05:49And so I mentioned that
  • 01:05:50sentinel lymph node biopsy is
  • 01:05:52not part of the trial,
  • 01:05:53but it may be performed
  • 01:05:54at physician discretion, which is
  • 01:05:55important.
  • 01:05:56So if we feel that
  • 01:05:57a patient really would benefit
  • 01:05:59from having sentinel lymph node
  • 01:06:00biopsy even with a GEP
  • 01:06:02low risk score, then then
  • 01:06:03we can still do that
  • 01:06:04as part of this trial.
  • 01:06:06This is a large study
  • 01:06:07with the planned enrollment of
  • 01:06:08a thousand patients at multiple
  • 01:06:10sites. It is currently already
  • 01:06:11enrolling in a few sites,
  • 01:06:13and, hopefully, Yale will be
  • 01:06:14coming on soon.
  • 01:06:16For these early stage melanoma,
  • 01:06:18we expect a very good
  • 01:06:19recurrence free survival of ninety
  • 01:06:21eight percent at three years.
  • 01:06:22So we really have to
  • 01:06:23have a large study to
  • 01:06:23be able to detect any
  • 01:06:25potential difference here, and this
  • 01:06:27is a noninferiority
  • 01:06:28design.
  • 01:06:29And we're also looking at
  • 01:06:30secondary outcomes of surgical morbidity
  • 01:06:32and quality of life measures,
  • 01:06:34which we expect,
  • 01:06:35will be less in patients
  • 01:06:37that are randomized to narrow
  • 01:06:38excision.
  • 01:06:40So just to summarize,
  • 01:06:42know, we're thinking about our
  • 01:06:44goals of surgical management,
  • 01:06:46including both staging the tumor
  • 01:06:48and optimizing local control.
  • 01:06:50Complete margin analysis may allow
  • 01:06:52us to have less morbid
  • 01:06:54and yet still complete surgical
  • 01:06:55resection with a narrow initial
  • 01:06:57margin.
  • 01:06:58And then using a GEP
  • 01:07:00can maybe help us do
  • 01:07:01some of the staging without
  • 01:07:02a sentinel lymph node biopsy,
  • 01:07:04in select groups of patients,
  • 01:07:06especially t one b, t
  • 01:07:07two a melanomas,
  • 01:07:09that come back as as
  • 01:07:11low risk on their GEP
  • 01:07:12testing.
  • 01:07:13So I will stop there.
  • 01:07:16Thank you.
  • 01:07:23Thank you so much, doctor
  • 01:07:24Christiansen, sir.
  • 01:07:26It's nice everyone has already
  • 01:07:28kind of laid out the
  • 01:07:30groundwork,
  • 01:07:31about all these very fancy
  • 01:07:33gene expression profiling assays. And
  • 01:07:35so my job now is
  • 01:07:36trying to
  • 01:07:37take all of this new
  • 01:07:39technology and how do we
  • 01:07:40integrate it best into clinical
  • 01:07:42practice to really
  • 01:07:44move the needle in terms
  • 01:07:45of improving patient outcomes while
  • 01:07:46minimizing morbidity and overtreatment.
  • 01:07:49And so one of the
  • 01:07:50things that I'll talk briefly
  • 01:07:51about is kind of the
  • 01:07:52difference between how we use
  • 01:07:53these assays in melanoma versus
  • 01:07:55in cutaneous squamous cell carcinomas.
  • 01:07:58And really there are three
  • 01:07:59main goals of trying to
  • 01:08:01utilize GEPs in clinical decision
  • 01:08:03making. One is, you know,
  • 01:08:05the question is, can we
  • 01:08:06avoid central lymph node biopsies
  • 01:08:08in individuals who are at
  • 01:08:10low risk, and reduce the
  • 01:08:11morbidity of surgical resection?
  • 01:08:14You know, how does that
  • 01:08:15score really inform whether or
  • 01:08:16not the patient needs adjuvant
  • 01:08:18therapy to try to minimize
  • 01:08:19the stomach toxicities
  • 01:08:21for people who don't need
  • 01:08:22additional treatment and will have
  • 01:08:24a good outcome regardless?
  • 01:08:26And then how do we
  • 01:08:27utilize this information
  • 01:08:29about risk
  • 01:08:30to guide surveillance? Do individuals
  • 01:08:33who have high risk tumors
  • 01:08:34need more surveillance,
  • 01:08:36more frequent visits, more frequent
  • 01:08:38examinations and scans as opposed
  • 01:08:40to those with low risk
  • 01:08:41disease?
  • 01:08:43So this is just kind
  • 01:08:45of comparing again the MERLIN
  • 01:08:46and the CASEL bioscience testing.
  • 01:08:49I really only focused on
  • 01:08:50the assays that are available
  • 01:08:52here in the United States.
  • 01:08:54But really, as, you know,
  • 01:08:56my colleagues have already discussed,
  • 01:08:58Merlin has two categories, high
  • 01:09:01versus low, whereas Cassell has
  • 01:09:03four different categories, 1A, 1B,
  • 01:09:052A, 2Bs in melanoma.
  • 01:09:09Really the Merlin is kind
  • 01:09:10of geared towards looking at
  • 01:09:12predicting sentinel lymph node positivity
  • 01:09:15to guide decision making and
  • 01:09:16lower risk melanomas,
  • 01:09:18whereas CASEL really tries to
  • 01:09:20address the question about recurrence
  • 01:09:22risk and prognostication.
  • 01:09:27The real question is these
  • 01:09:29tests are very expensive.
  • 01:09:30They're
  • 01:09:31time consuming. There's a lag
  • 01:09:33time in before you get
  • 01:09:34the results.
  • 01:09:35And given the cost,
  • 01:09:38does this information really add
  • 01:09:40overall value to the care?
  • 01:09:42You know, we talk about
  • 01:09:43nomograms and,
  • 01:09:46in determining whether or not
  • 01:09:47patients have a high risk
  • 01:09:48of the sentinel lymph node
  • 01:09:49positivity to determine lymph node
  • 01:09:51biopsies.
  • 01:09:53We have very good long
  • 01:09:54term
  • 01:09:56AJCC
  • 01:09:57melanoma specific recurrence,
  • 01:10:00specific survival,
  • 01:10:02and all of these latter,
  • 01:10:05you know, statistics are free.
  • 01:10:06So, what exactly is the
  • 01:10:08GEP testing contributing?
  • 01:10:10In addition to this, you
  • 01:10:12know, we obviously from the
  • 01:10:14pros and cons about the
  • 01:10:15discussion and how these assays
  • 01:10:16were designed and whether geared
  • 01:10:18towards addressing,
  • 01:10:19there are obvious flaws.
  • 01:10:21They're not perfect. No single
  • 01:10:23assay is going to yield
  • 01:10:24the exact
  • 01:10:26data that is required. And
  • 01:10:27there's always
  • 01:10:29some stage
  • 01:10:30or some factor clinical pathologically,
  • 01:10:33that may not be well
  • 01:10:35represented in the assay.
  • 01:10:37So for example, this is
  • 01:10:38the Castle Bio and Science
  • 01:10:40testing,
  • 01:10:41looking at the estimated proportion
  • 01:10:42of patients with melanoma
  • 01:10:45who are correctly classified as
  • 01:10:46high risk. And you can
  • 01:10:47see the stage ones,
  • 01:10:49did worse,
  • 01:10:51in this setting. Whereas if
  • 01:10:53you kind of flip this
  • 01:10:54and look at the estimated
  • 01:10:55proportion of patients without melanoma
  • 01:10:57recurrence that were correctly classified
  • 01:10:59as low risk,
  • 01:11:01again, the stage twos in
  • 01:11:02this situation
  • 01:11:04did a little bit worse
  • 01:11:05based on the assay.
  • 01:11:07So I think in general,
  • 01:11:09when you kinda summarize these
  • 01:11:10different studies that led to,
  • 01:11:13the evaluation of these
  • 01:11:15clinical assays in in patients,
  • 01:11:18really, the consensus is that
  • 01:11:20maybe they're not quite ready
  • 01:11:22yet for prime time usage.
  • 01:11:25The Merlin has,
  • 01:11:27a nod in the NCCN
  • 01:11:29to consider it,
  • 01:11:30but ultimately, it should not
  • 01:11:32supersede,
  • 01:11:34clinical pathological features, clinical staging,
  • 01:11:38and really should be used
  • 01:11:39in the context as an
  • 01:11:40investigational tool because there's still
  • 01:11:42so much that we still
  • 01:11:44need to clarify in regards
  • 01:11:45to how best to implement
  • 01:11:47them, what they ultimately mean,
  • 01:11:49what the long term survival,
  • 01:11:51recurrence
  • 01:11:53risk factors, and overall survival
  • 01:11:55is for these individuals.
  • 01:11:56So really right now, they're
  • 01:11:58still geared towards the, as
  • 01:11:59an investigational
  • 01:12:01tool
  • 01:12:02as part of clinical trials
  • 01:12:03and in the research setting.
  • 01:12:06This is kind of the
  • 01:12:07melanoma specific survival breakdown by
  • 01:12:10stage
  • 01:12:11at five years and ten
  • 01:12:12years. And as you can
  • 01:12:14see, really, we try to
  • 01:12:15gear therapy, any additional adjuvant
  • 01:12:18therapy post surgery
  • 01:12:20in those individuals that have
  • 01:12:21a higher risk
  • 01:12:23of, morbidity, mortality for melanoma.
  • 01:12:26And so really it's those
  • 01:12:27stage IIBs and beyond even
  • 01:12:29including oligometastatic stage four
  • 01:12:35trying to decrease
  • 01:12:36recurrence, improve overall survival long
  • 01:12:39term. But it's really hard
  • 01:12:41just given the heterogeneity of
  • 01:12:42this population too to really
  • 01:12:44decipher
  • 01:12:45who really needs additional therapy
  • 01:12:47or who are we overtreating
  • 01:12:49and inducing potentially permanent toxicities,
  • 01:12:52particularly with immune checkpoint inhibitors.
  • 01:12:55These days too, we're also
  • 01:12:56moving in the neoadjuvant
  • 01:12:58space too, and Doctor. Roche
  • 01:12:59has an energy
  • 01:13:01neoadjuvant study trying to evaluate
  • 01:13:03this in a re response
  • 01:13:04adaptive,
  • 01:13:05system.
  • 01:13:07But, really, can we also
  • 01:13:09help improve overall survival by
  • 01:13:11moving systemic therapy earlier on?
  • 01:13:14So where along the spectrum
  • 01:13:16really does, GEP therapy,
  • 01:13:19play a role?
  • 01:13:20So as of right now,
  • 01:13:22there really is no strong
  • 01:13:24indication,
  • 01:13:26in clinical trial that really
  • 01:13:28supports
  • 01:13:29determining
  • 01:13:30or utilizing GEP
  • 01:13:31as a sole marker of
  • 01:13:33whether or not we decide
  • 01:13:34to do adjuvant therapy in
  • 01:13:35these individuals.
  • 01:13:37Again, there's some good clinical
  • 01:13:39trials in progress that unfortunately
  • 01:13:40we don't have the data
  • 01:13:42yet on. So the NIVOMELA
  • 01:13:44trial is currently ongoing,
  • 01:13:46is still enrolling,
  • 01:13:48but it's prospective randomized phase
  • 01:13:50three study. The question here
  • 01:13:52is,
  • 01:13:53looking at melanogenics
  • 01:13:55to see if that can,
  • 01:13:57adequately predict
  • 01:13:59in those individuals with high
  • 01:14:00risk disease
  • 01:14:02whether or not utilization of
  • 01:14:03adjuvant nivolumab versus placebo improves
  • 01:14:06outcomes in individuals with stage
  • 01:14:08two melanoma.
  • 01:14:09And so something for the
  • 01:14:11future that we all should
  • 01:14:12pay attention to once that
  • 01:14:13data comes out and whether
  • 01:14:15or not we can start
  • 01:14:16integrating this in a more,
  • 01:14:18evidence based fashion into our
  • 01:14:21clinical decision making.
  • 01:14:23Now the elephant in the
  • 01:14:24room that we've not discussed
  • 01:14:26yet this entire night is
  • 01:14:27how do we factor in
  • 01:14:28ctDNA
  • 01:14:29too?
  • 01:14:31So there's more utilization
  • 01:14:33for ctDNA
  • 01:14:34in clinical management,
  • 01:14:36again, with,
  • 01:14:38kind of caveats that this
  • 01:14:40is also,
  • 01:14:41semi understudied.
  • 01:14:43There's a lot of ongoing
  • 01:14:44clinical trials looking at this
  • 01:14:46and risk stratifying
  • 01:14:47individuals
  • 01:14:48with ctDNA
  • 01:14:50positivity,
  • 01:14:51basically detectable circulating tumor DNA
  • 01:14:53postoperative,
  • 01:14:54and whether those individuals need
  • 01:14:56adjuvant therapy versus those who
  • 01:14:58clear their ctDNA
  • 01:15:00post op.
  • 01:15:01One of the best clinical
  • 01:15:03trials that has been published
  • 01:15:04to date in this setting
  • 01:15:05actually occurred in stage two
  • 01:15:07colon cancers.
  • 01:15:08So this was the dynamic
  • 01:15:10trial looking at ctDNA
  • 01:15:12to guide the decision on
  • 01:15:14whether adjuvant therapy needs to
  • 01:15:15be pursued.
  • 01:15:17The three year relapse free
  • 01:15:19survival was eighty six point
  • 01:15:21four percent amongst those with
  • 01:15:23ctDNA
  • 01:15:24positivity.
  • 01:15:26It was really randomized to
  • 01:15:27investigators' choice use that to
  • 01:15:29guide decision making whether or
  • 01:15:31not they received adjuvant chemotherapy.
  • 01:15:33Again, the regimen,
  • 01:15:35deferred to the investigator.
  • 01:15:37This was versus ninety two
  • 01:15:39point five percent
  • 01:15:40of
  • 01:15:41recurrence free survival amongst the
  • 01:15:44CTD negative patients who did
  • 01:15:46not receive any additional therapy.
  • 01:15:48So in the end,
  • 01:15:49based on the CTD guided
  • 01:15:51group, fewer patients,
  • 01:15:53had to undergo and receive
  • 01:15:55adjuvant chemotherapy,
  • 01:15:57and overall responses were very
  • 01:16:00similar.
  • 01:16:01Now the COMBOAD
  • 01:16:04trial was utilized to look
  • 01:16:06at adjuvant dibrafnib and trametna
  • 01:16:08for individuals with BRAF mutated
  • 01:16:10melanomas
  • 01:16:12for a year in the
  • 01:16:13adjuvant setting.
  • 01:16:14So what they did in
  • 01:16:15this study was actually also
  • 01:16:17evaluate, and they reported this
  • 01:16:19separately,
  • 01:16:20biomarker analysis,
  • 01:16:22looking at ctDNA post resection.
  • 01:16:24They found that in those
  • 01:16:26individuals,
  • 01:16:27post resection, thirteen percent of
  • 01:16:29patients had still detectable ctDNA,
  • 01:16:32and those were associated with
  • 01:16:34worse survival outcomes.
  • 01:16:36And so, again, ctDNA
  • 01:16:38has been utilized
  • 01:16:39and is emerging as prognostic
  • 01:16:41outcome
  • 01:16:42in individuals
  • 01:16:44with,
  • 01:16:45you know, high risk disease.
  • 01:16:47Ultimately,
  • 01:16:49if one
  • 01:16:50assay
  • 01:16:51ctDNA versus GEP is going
  • 01:16:53to be superior, inferior versus
  • 01:16:53others yet to be determined.
  • 01:16:53And I think really
  • 01:16:54given
  • 01:16:57determined. And I think really
  • 01:16:59given kind of the limitations
  • 01:17:00on some of the GEP
  • 01:17:01assays and what they're designed
  • 01:17:03to question whether or not
  • 01:17:04that's sentinel lymph node biopsy
  • 01:17:06versus overall prognostication,
  • 01:17:10where that is aligned also
  • 01:17:12kind of depends on the
  • 01:17:13assay in question two.
  • 01:17:16Whether or not GEP impacts
  • 01:17:18how we surveil melanomas,
  • 01:17:20also we're still in the
  • 01:17:21primitive era of this as
  • 01:17:23well.
  • 01:17:24Really the guidelines and the
  • 01:17:26consensus
  • 01:17:27from individuals is that no
  • 01:17:28changes really should be made
  • 01:17:30at this point
  • 01:17:31based on GEP,
  • 01:17:33high risk versus low risk
  • 01:17:35expression.
  • 01:17:39Pathologic staging and histologic
  • 01:17:41criteria.
  • 01:17:42And that should always still
  • 01:17:44take precedence over GEP as
  • 01:17:46we're trying to learn more
  • 01:17:47and gain more data, particularly
  • 01:17:49prospective clinical trial data to
  • 01:17:51see whether or not long
  • 01:17:53term outcomes,
  • 01:17:54hold true.
  • 01:17:56Now kind of switching gears
  • 01:17:58to the squamous cell carcinoma
  • 01:18:00GEP space, so this is
  • 01:18:01the CASEL Decision DX for
  • 01:18:03squamous cell carcinomas.
  • 01:18:05Now unlike melanomas,
  • 01:18:07the testing
  • 01:18:08of in this particular disease
  • 01:18:11has is more mature compared
  • 01:18:13to in melanoma.
  • 01:18:15So this is the forty
  • 01:18:16GEP panel.
  • 01:18:18Again, as,
  • 01:18:20my prior colleagues already has
  • 01:18:21talked kind of three different
  • 01:18:23categories, which help to predict
  • 01:18:26metastasis free survival.
  • 01:18:28Really kind of the three
  • 01:18:30year metastasis
  • 01:18:31free survival
  • 01:18:32is much better in those
  • 01:18:34with class one
  • 01:18:35at ninety one percent versus
  • 01:18:37class IIBs, which are about
  • 01:18:38forty four percent.
  • 01:18:40And again,
  • 01:18:42as Doctor. Roche had mentioned,
  • 01:18:44kind of the positive predictive
  • 01:18:45value shows improvement over our
  • 01:18:47standard
  • 01:18:49AGCC
  • 01:18:50staging and,
  • 01:18:51Brigham and Women's Hospital staging
  • 01:18:53systems at this point.
  • 01:18:55So again, it was nice
  • 01:18:56to see that comparison of
  • 01:18:58GEP,
  • 01:19:00versus traditional staging algorithms.
  • 01:19:03Now the question here also
  • 01:19:04is, you know, how do
  • 01:19:05we utilize GEP, the Castle
  • 01:19:08Bion Science testing for squamous
  • 01:19:10cell carcinomas to determine whether
  • 01:19:12or not individuals need adjuvant
  • 01:19:13therapy?
  • 01:19:15There was actually two recent
  • 01:19:17updates
  • 01:19:18over the past year,
  • 01:19:20C POST and keynote six
  • 01:19:22thirty, looking at adjuvant anti
  • 01:19:23PD-one therapy in these high
  • 01:19:25risk
  • 01:19:26individuals. So these are high
  • 01:19:27risk generally by the MCCN
  • 01:19:28criteria. The one utilized for
  • 01:19:28C POST is kind of
  • 01:19:30listed
  • 01:19:39evasion, in transit metastases,
  • 01:19:41recurrence, etcetera.
  • 01:19:44And so really for C
  • 01:19:45post trial,
  • 01:19:46they did not report any
  • 01:19:47GEP utilization
  • 01:19:49nor did keynote sixthirty.
  • 01:19:51So again, in this phase,
  • 01:19:52it's kind of hard to
  • 01:19:53compare the utility of adjuvant
  • 01:19:55therapy,
  • 01:19:56at this time.
  • 01:19:58Now when we look at
  • 01:19:59surveillance,
  • 01:20:01we know that in terms
  • 01:20:02of metastases, the class I
  • 01:20:04patients had less than ten
  • 01:20:05percent risk of metastases versus
  • 01:20:07the class IIb. Those individuals
  • 01:20:10had a greater than fifty
  • 01:20:11percent risk of metastases.
  • 01:20:14So when you have an
  • 01:20:15AJCC
  • 01:20:16that's a T3, T4
  • 01:20:19or a similar kind of
  • 01:20:21T2B,
  • 01:20:22T3 and the, BHW
  • 01:20:24classification,
  • 01:20:26those are always kinda intermediate
  • 01:20:28or high risk. It's really
  • 01:20:30kinda discerning the T one,
  • 01:20:32T twos and the T
  • 01:20:34one, T two As,
  • 01:20:36that really the class one,
  • 01:20:38class two A, class two
  • 01:20:39B designation kinda really helps
  • 01:20:42to better delineate with granularity
  • 01:20:45those individuals that will be
  • 01:20:46at higher risk for developing
  • 01:20:48metastatic disease in the future.
  • 01:20:50And so really, it's kind
  • 01:20:52of in those individuals where
  • 01:20:54the discussion about
  • 01:20:55how do you improve upon
  • 01:20:58local disease control with the
  • 01:21:00addition of adjuvant radiation,
  • 01:21:02as Doctor. Young had alluded
  • 01:21:03to, that really kind of
  • 01:21:04makes
  • 01:21:05a difference in long term
  • 01:21:07clinical responses.
  • 01:21:10So when we think about,
  • 01:21:12surveillance in cutaneous squamous cell
  • 01:21:14carcinomas too,
  • 01:21:16this was kind of an
  • 01:21:17interesting paradigm that was presented
  • 01:21:19by Farberg et al,
  • 01:21:21looking at those individuals that
  • 01:21:23are classically considered high risk
  • 01:21:25for cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma.
  • 01:21:27So considering and taking into
  • 01:21:29factor the forty GEP expression,
  • 01:21:32and then looking at class
  • 01:21:34one individuals. In these,
  • 01:21:36class one groups, we know
  • 01:21:38that these patients do well
  • 01:21:39overall
  • 01:21:40based on,
  • 01:21:43kind of their three year
  • 01:21:44relapse free survival outcomes.
  • 01:21:46So if you have someone
  • 01:21:48who has is a class
  • 01:21:50one, potentially fifty to sixty
  • 01:21:52percent of those individuals
  • 01:21:54could be spared,
  • 01:21:55additional adjuvant anti PD one
  • 01:21:58therapy.
  • 01:21:59So you're minimizing toxicity.
  • 01:22:01You know these patients are
  • 01:22:02gonna do well overall.
  • 01:22:04And so there is more
  • 01:22:06equipoise than to say, okay,
  • 01:22:08maybe these individuals don't need
  • 01:22:10quite as much surveillance,
  • 01:22:12and don't need standard, scheduled
  • 01:22:15imaging.
  • 01:22:16In those individuals then on
  • 01:22:17the opposite side who have
  • 01:22:19a class 2b signature,
  • 01:22:20those are the ones that
  • 01:22:21you really wanna focus on
  • 01:22:23and maximizing,
  • 01:22:24all the therapies
  • 01:22:26upfront,
  • 01:22:27to try to minimize,
  • 01:22:29distant metastasis,
  • 01:22:31recurrence.
  • 01:22:32And so for these individuals,
  • 01:22:34you wanna consider adjuvant radiation.
  • 01:22:37And this is what Doctor.
  • 01:22:38Young had already alluded to
  • 01:22:40too with these individuals,
  • 01:22:41who had adjuvant radiation.
  • 01:22:43Those individuals had a fifty
  • 01:22:45percent improvement in five year
  • 01:22:47metastasis free survival.
  • 01:22:49And again, this was something
  • 01:22:50that was not seen in
  • 01:22:51class one or the class
  • 01:22:522a
  • 01:22:53GPs.
  • 01:22:54The moderate intensity, obviously,
  • 01:22:57we consider,
  • 01:22:59doing all the adjuvant treatments,
  • 01:23:01the adjuvant radiation,
  • 01:23:03but at that point too,
  • 01:23:04it's all you're just also
  • 01:23:06equicosed to talk about, kind
  • 01:23:08of risk factors and on
  • 01:23:09a patient per case basis,
  • 01:23:12you know, what are their
  • 01:23:13goals, what are their morbidities
  • 01:23:14and trying to factor this
  • 01:23:16in on a more personalized
  • 01:23:18approach.
  • 01:23:19So again, kind of the
  • 01:23:21summary of all of this
  • 01:23:22is that it's complicated.
  • 01:23:24There's still a lot that
  • 01:23:25we still have yet to
  • 01:23:26learn in trying to integrate
  • 01:23:29these new technologies in our
  • 01:23:31clinical practice,
  • 01:23:32a lot of clinical trials
  • 01:23:34that are forthcoming that may
  • 01:23:35help to elucidate these,
  • 01:23:37questions and answers.
  • 01:23:40But really,
  • 01:23:41and, you know, trying to
  • 01:23:43figure out how do we
  • 01:23:45also then reconcile ctDNA data
  • 01:23:47with GEP data to best
  • 01:23:49guide decision making.
  • 01:23:52You know, there may be
  • 01:23:53forthcoming
  • 01:23:55GEP
  • 01:23:56like two point zero at
  • 01:23:57some point
  • 01:23:58that will also help not
  • 01:23:59only look at metastases, local
  • 01:24:01recurrence, lymph node positivity,
  • 01:24:04but overall survival too.
  • 01:24:06And so I know there's
  • 01:24:07individuals already working on this
  • 01:24:09and emerging
  • 01:24:10technologies in this regard too.
  • 01:24:14With that, I think
  • 01:24:15we are done.
  • 01:24:17So,
  • 01:24:18let me stop sharing, and
  • 01:24:20maybe we can go back
  • 01:24:21to the chat if anyone
  • 01:24:22has any questions.
  • 01:24:46Okay.
  • 01:24:49We had,
  • 01:24:51Barb Barbara Johnson had a
  • 01:24:52question about how long the
  • 01:24:54assays take to
  • 01:24:56result to,
  • 01:24:57doctor Christiansen.
  • 01:24:59Do you have a
  • 01:25:00you've been using this, I
  • 01:25:01think, a little bit more.
  • 01:25:03Yeah. So it's it's usually
  • 01:25:04about a week
  • 01:25:05turnaround time, and most of
  • 01:25:07that is from shipping. So
  • 01:25:10the the assay is done
  • 01:25:12on formalum fixed slides from
  • 01:25:14the original biopsy,
  • 01:25:16and that has to be
  • 01:25:17shipped to the company. And
  • 01:25:18then once they get it,
  • 01:25:19then they can do that
  • 01:25:20test within a day or
  • 01:25:21so.
  • 01:25:22So it's it's just the
  • 01:25:24logistics of transferring it that
  • 01:25:25takes a little bit of
  • 01:25:26time. But since that's done
  • 01:25:28on the original diagnostic biopsy,
  • 01:25:30that can actually be initiated,
  • 01:25:33you know, while the patient
  • 01:25:34is getting set up for
  • 01:25:35their consultation and surgery.
  • 01:25:41I have a question for
  • 01:25:42doctor Christiansen maybe.
  • 01:25:45Sure. In terms of these
  • 01:25:47various assays, there's so many
  • 01:25:49companies that offer their own
  • 01:25:51proprietary
  • 01:25:52assay.
  • 01:25:54Sometimes tissue is quite precious.
  • 01:25:56So if you commit to
  • 01:25:57doing,
  • 01:25:59you know, formalin
  • 01:26:00submitting formalin fixed tissue to
  • 01:26:03a company for one particular
  • 01:26:04assay, for example, we do
  • 01:26:06a lot of Natera ctDNA
  • 01:26:08monitoring.
  • 01:26:10Do any of these companies
  • 01:26:11ever work together
  • 01:26:13to
  • 01:26:14kind of maximize
  • 01:26:16the DNA and
  • 01:26:18the kind of the RNA
  • 01:26:20so that they get as
  • 01:26:22much
  • 01:26:22out of such little tissue,
  • 01:26:24particularly if we're talking about
  • 01:26:25trying to prioritize looking at
  • 01:26:27comparing ctDNA
  • 01:26:29gene expression profiling in some
  • 01:26:30of these t one, t
  • 01:26:32two tumors where there's not
  • 01:26:33gonna be much to begin
  • 01:26:34with.
  • 01:26:37So I don't think I
  • 01:26:37know enough to accurately,
  • 01:26:39fully answer that question,
  • 01:26:41but my guess is probably
  • 01:26:43the answer is no. I
  • 01:26:44think these companies are all
  • 01:26:46independent,
  • 01:26:47and they all do their
  • 01:26:48own thing. I mean, I
  • 01:26:49think, you know, you you
  • 01:26:50presented the idea of using
  • 01:26:52GEP GEP and ctDNA
  • 01:26:54together in a prospective trial.
  • 01:26:55And if that were going
  • 01:26:57to happen, then, you know,
  • 01:26:58they would have to work
  • 01:26:59together.
  • 01:27:00But I think short of
  • 01:27:01that right now, everybody's independent.
  • 01:27:05I I believe that's that's
  • 01:27:07correct. And and, actually, I
  • 01:27:08believe that the Signatera slash
  • 01:27:10Natera company is working on
  • 01:27:12their own
  • 01:27:13GEP.
  • 01:27:15So,
  • 01:27:16and and to the point
  • 01:27:17made earlier,
  • 01:27:18each one is proprietary. So
  • 01:27:20there's a reason that the
  • 01:27:21genes of interest don't overlap
  • 01:27:24with many of these even
  • 01:27:26though they're looking at
  • 01:27:28melanoma, which I always find
  • 01:27:30fascinating.
  • 01:27:31And you'll, unfortunately, I don't
  • 01:27:33know if we'll we'll ever
  • 01:27:34be able to get head
  • 01:27:35to head,
  • 01:27:36comparisons
  • 01:27:37for these because of the
  • 01:27:39reason that you said our
  • 01:27:40melanomas are small and the
  • 01:27:42samples are precious. And,
  • 01:27:44you know,
  • 01:27:47it it'll be very, very
  • 01:27:48interesting. But, again, we never
  • 01:27:50thought companies would cooperate for
  • 01:27:52systemic immune therapy and look
  • 01:27:54where we are now. So
  • 01:27:56I'm I'm hopeful.
  • 01:28:01Maybe the sponsor of Iceman
  • 01:28:03would like to do c
  • 01:28:04two DNA.
  • 01:28:07They might.
  • 01:28:10We'll bring it up at
  • 01:28:11the next investigators meeting.
  • 01:28:15Alright. Well, for all of
  • 01:28:16those folks, I can't believe
  • 01:28:18how many people have stayed
  • 01:28:19on the entire
  • 01:28:20time. So thank you so
  • 01:28:21much to your audience. Thank
  • 01:28:23you for questions, and thank
  • 01:28:25you to my colleagues that
  • 01:28:27I have the pleasure
  • 01:28:28to work with every day
  • 01:28:30and pick their brain about
  • 01:28:31just about anything.
  • 01:28:33So thank you to everyone
  • 01:28:35and, we're all open, very
  • 01:28:37easy to find via email.
  • 01:28:39If people had questions that
  • 01:28:41they come up with, even
  • 01:28:42for those of you who
  • 01:28:43may be later viewing this
  • 01:28:45on YouTube. So thank you
  • 01:28:46and have a wonderful evening.